2026-05-18
v1.0
Launch
Methodology
- Model trained on 2023-2025 Statcast pitch-level data, 770k batter-vs-pitcher PAs.
- Comp Lab: 38-feature player vectors, weighted Euclidean similarity, top-20 nearest neighbors precomputed for every active hitter.
- Park factors: 3-year (2022-24) HR + runs baselines per stadium, applied as multipliers inside the simulator.
Product
- `/today` daily slate live with Kelly-sized stakes per row.
- `/sim` 25,000-trial Monte Carlo with every input as a slider (Pro+).
- `/comp-lab` BvP plus comp-expanded aggregate for any matchup.
- `/edges`, `/hr`, `/k` filtered slate views.
Calibration
- Empty by design — no fabricated history. Calibration fills in as the first week of plays settle.