Chase Field is roughly neutral for home runs, with a BallBet HR park factor of 1.01 relative to a neutral park. Today: MIN at AZ, 2026-06-21T19:15:00Z. Conditions: 88°F, wind 3 mph W. The model's average home-run probability across hitters in this game is 12.4%.
BallBet multi-year baselines relative to a neutral park.
Chase Field is roughly neutral for home runs relative to a neutral park, with a BallBet HR park factor of 1.01. The stadium baseline is a multi-year figure; same-day weather is layered on top for each game.
For Today: 88°F, wind 3 mph W. Wind and temperature can shift a park's home-run environment meaningfully from its baseline.
MIN visit AZ, with Mike Paredes and Jose Cabrera the probable starters.