Chase Field is roughly neutral for home runs, with a BallBet HR park factor of 1.01 relative to a neutral park. Today: NYY at AZ, 2026-09-20T00:10:00Z. Conditions: 96°F, wind 1 mph E. The model's average home-run probability across hitters in this game is 15.7%.
BallBet multi-year baselines relative to a neutral park.
Chase Field is roughly neutral for home runs relative to a neutral park, with a BallBet HR park factor of 1.01. The stadium baseline is a multi-year figure; same-day weather is layered on top for each game.
For Today: 96°F, wind 1 mph E. Wind and temperature can shift a park's home-run environment meaningfully from its baseline.
NYY visit AZ, with Cam Schlittler and Brandon Pfaadt the probable starters.