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Vaughn Grissom
2B · RHB · RHP · LAA
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Tonight's top play
Home Runs OVER 0.5+8.0% edgemodel 18% · grade A
Why: strong vs the Four-Seam (41% usage, .429 xwOBA).
Verdict
one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Vaughn Grissom, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 0-1 | 0% | -100.0% |
| A | 2-1 | 67% | +9.0% |
| B | 1-2 | 33% | -51.7% |
Combined 3-4 · n=7 · ROI -32.6% · avg CLV +0.0 pts · beat close 0%
Matchup
Vaughn Grissom (RHB) vs Trevor Rogers LHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Trevor Rogers's arsenal × how Vaughn Grissom hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.2Plate Appearancesavg 4.2
Hitsavg 1.2
Singlesavg 0.8
Doublesavg 0.2
Total Basesavg 2.0
Home Runsavg 0.2
Strikeoutsavg 0.9
Walksavg 0.3
Tonight's lines
2026-08-05 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Same-game parlay
pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won'tSplits
Career n=272 PA · 2026-04-11 → 2026-08-02
xStats luck
xwOBA0.331
wOBA0.319
delta−0.012 due
n=272 PA
Spray chart
205 balls in play since 2025Balls in play205
HR rate3.4%
Hard-hit (95+)39%
Avg exit velo88.3 mph
Ground ball43%
Line drive25%
Fly ball26%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Vaughn Grissom across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.