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Jose Altuve
2B · RHB · RHP · HOU
Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Jose Altuve, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 1-0 | 100% | +54.9% |
| A | 0-1 | 0% | -100.0% |
| B | — | — | — |
Combined 1-1 · n=2 · ROI -22.5% · avg CLV +0.0 pts · beat close 0%
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.0Plate Appearancesavg 4.0
Hitsavg 0.8
Singlesavg 0.4
Doublesavg 0.1
Total Basesavg 1.8
Home Runsavg 0.3
Strikeoutsavg 1.3
Walksavg 0.2
Splits
Career n=250 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-06-20
xStats luck
xwOBA0.296
wOBA0.322
delta+0.026 hot
n=249 PA
Spray chart
665 balls in play since 2025Balls in play665
HR rate5.1%
Hard-hit (95+)32%
Avg exit velo84.5 mph
Ground ball45%
Line drive21%
Fly ball24%
What kind of arm does he crush?
top 3 pitcher traits by |lift|
-14.6%small sample
n=292 games · 18/136 HR when active
+0.0%small sample
n=0 games · 0/0 HR when active
+0.0%small sample
n=0 games · 0/0 HR when active
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature· refreshed 2026-05-21
helping tonighthurting tonightnot in play tonight
HR-friendly park (factor ≥ 1.10)
1.65× HR rate
37 yes / 257 no · 43 HRs
Cold month (Apr / Sep / Oct)
+24%
85 yes / 209 no · 43 HRs
No rest day (B2B or doubleheader)
+21%
218 yes / 75 no · 43 HRs
Playing at home
−20%
157 yes / 137 no · 43 HRs
// 8 more factors — small sample / no significant lift
Summer game (Jun-Aug)
+15%
131 yes / 163 no · 43 HRs
Vs. high-contact-quality pitcher (avg EV allowed ≥ 89 mph)
−15%
136 yes / 156 no · 43 HRs
Rested (2+ days off)
neutral
15 yes / 278 no · 43 HRs
HR-suppressing park (factor ≤ 0.95)
neutral
43 yes / 251 no · 43 HRs
Vs. fastball-heavy pitcher (FB% ≥ 55%)
neutral
0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs
Vs. hittable pitcher (BAA > .260)
neutral
0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs
Vs. high-xwOBA pitcher (xwOBA allowed > .340)
neutral
0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs
Vs. low-whiff pitcher (whiff% < 22%)
neutral
0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs
// LIFT = P(HR | factor true) ÷ P(HR | factor false), Bayesian- shrunk with K=30 pseudo-games. Significance requires |lift − 1| ≥ 0.20 AND smaller cohort n ≥ 15. Cohort = top 60 HR hitters, last 2 seasons. Refreshed weekly. Green/red = the factor's effect on tonight's HR chance; gray = not in play tonight.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Jose Altuve across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.