← BACK TO SLATE
George Springer
DH · RHB · RHP · TOR
Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on George Springer, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 2-2 | 50% | +8.0% |
| A | 2-0 | 100% | +42.7% |
| B | 2-1 | 67% | +179.0% |
Combined 6-3 · n=9 · ROI +72.7% · avg CLV +0.0 pts · beat close 60%
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.5Plate Appearancesavg 4.5
Hitsavg 0.8
Singlesavg 0.5
Doublesavg 0.1
Total Basesavg 1.5
Home Runsavg 0.2
Strikeoutsavg 0.7
Walksavg 0.9
Splits
Career n=249 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-06-17
xStats luck
xwOBA0.368
wOBA0.398
delta+0.030 hot
n=249 PA
Spray chart
624 balls in play since 2025Balls in play624
HR rate7.5%
Hard-hit (95+)42%
Avg exit velo89.5 mph
Ground ball40%
Line drive24%
Fly ball28%
What kind of arm does he crush?
top 3 pitcher traits by |lift|
+51.0%significant
n=393 games · 14/53 HR when active
+25.4%significant
n=391 games · 14/66 HR when active
+22.8%small sample
n=393 games · 3/10 HR when active
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature· refreshed 2026-06-16
≥1 career HR vs this pitcher
1.51× HR rate
53 yes / 340 no · 65 HRs
3rd time through order vs starter
+40%
270 yes / 123 no · 65 HRs
HR-suppressing park (factor ≤ 0.95)
+34%
51 yes / 342 no · 65 HRs
Vs. fly-ball-prone pitcher (FB% allowed > 40%)
+25%
66 yes / 325 no · 65 HRs
Vs. hittable pitcher (BAA > .260)
+23%
68 yes / 325 no · 65 HRs
Vs. short-leash starter (avg IP < 5.0)
+22%
151 yes / 230 no · 62 HRs
Platoon advantage (LHB-vs-RHP or RHB-vs-LHP)
+21%
64 yes / 191 no · 43 HRs
Vs. fastball-heavy pitcher (FB% ≥ 55%)
+20%
219 yes / 160 no · 62 HRs
// 20 more factors — small sample / no significant lift
≥2 career HRs vs this pitcher
+23%
10 yes / 383 no · 65 HRs
Vs. HR-prone pitcher (HR/PA > 3.8%)
+19%
76 yes / 316 no · 65 HRs
Vs. pull-fly-ball-prone pitcher (>18%)
−18%
232 yes / 159 no · 65 HRs
Vs. high-xwOBA pitcher (xwOBA allowed > .340)
−17%
68 yes / 325 no · 65 HRs
Wind blowing out (≥10 mph, outdoor)
−13%
4 yes / 360 no · 59 HRs
Batting 3-4-5 in the order
−13%
90 yes / 303 no · 65 HRs
First-pitch temperature > 78°F
+12%
48 yes / 316 no · 59 HRs
Cold month (Apr / Sep / Oct)
−11%
127 yes / 266 no · 65 HRs
No rest day (B2B or doubleheader)
+9%
300 yes / 92 no · 65 HRs
Rested (2+ days off)
−8%
22 yes / 370 no · 65 HRs
Opposing starter's recent FB velo down ≥1 mph
−8%
65 yes / 256 no · 54 HRs
Opposing starter coming off >7 days rest
−6%
64 yes / 303 no · 62 HRs
Hot streak (L5 avg EV > career baseline)
neutral
220 yes / 168 no · 65 HRs
Vs. barrel-prone pitcher (Barrel% allowed > 9%)
neutral
1 yes / 390 no · 65 HRs
≥3 career HRs vs this pitcher
neutral
1 yes / 392 no · 65 HRs
Vs. high-contact-quality pitcher (avg EV allowed ≥ 89 mph)
neutral
173 yes / 220 no · 65 HRs
HR-friendly park (factor ≥ 1.10)
neutral
50 yes / 343 no · 65 HRs
Summer game (Jun-Aug)
neutral
144 yes / 249 no · 65 HRs
Playing at home
neutral
211 yes / 182 no · 65 HRs
Vs. low-whiff pitcher (whiff% < 22%)
neutral
0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs
// LIFT = P(HR | factor true) ÷ P(HR | factor false), Bayesian- shrunk with K=30 pseudo-games. Significance requires |lift − 1| ≥ 0.20 AND smaller cohort n ≥ 15. Cohort = top 60 HR hitters, last 2 seasons. Refreshed weekly.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to George Springer across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.