Elias Díaz

C · RHB · RHP · TEX

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Home vs

NYM

Starter

Sean Manaea (LHP)

Stadium

Globe Life Field

Model HR%

18.4%

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Elias Díaz, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	11-9	55%	-4.3%
A	2-5	29%	-56.9%
B	2-9	18%	-64.4%

Combined 15-23 · n=38 · ROI -31.4% · avg CLV +0.0 pts · beat close 0%

Matchup

Elias Díaz (RHB) vs Sean Manaea LHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Sean Manaea LHP · season · 143.0 IP · 615 BF

BAA

.255

wOBA

.337

SLG

.459

ISO

.204

WHIP

1.39

HR/9

1.45

BB%

8.9%

22.1%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

2.7%

HH%

41.1%

FB%

36.6%

HR/FB%

16.9%

Elias Díaz hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	50-221	.226	.380	.154	7	4.7%	25.8%
vs LHP	24-96	.250	.510	.260	6	4.0%	22.9%

Pitch-type matchup

Sean Manaea's arsenal × how Elias Díaz hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Sean Manaea throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
TOPFour-Seam	53%	91.3	19%	.413
Sweeper	34%	76.5	33%	.361
Sinker	6%	89.5	2%	.352
Changeup	6%	84.0	23%	.586
Cutter	1%	84.0	45%	.335

Elias Díaz vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
TOPFour-Seam	416	31%	.373	88.7
Sweeper	96	44%	.181	77.1
Sinker	167	19%	.395	88.4
Changeup	94	31%	.288	87.0
Cutter	60	29%	.300	92.2

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

60%6/10 · L10 · avg 0.8

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.3

Plate Appearancesavg 3.3

Hitsavg 0.8

Singlesavg 0.6

Doublesavg 0.1

Total Basesavg 1.2

Home Runsavg 0.1

Strikeoutsavg 0.9

Walksavg 0.1

Splits

Career n=232 PA · 2026-03-17 → 2026-09-18

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	50-221	.226	.380	.154	13	7	11	25.8%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	24-96	.250	.510	.260	7	6	4	22.9%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	26-125	.208	.280	.072	6	1	7	28.0%
Last 15 days recent form	5-21	.238	.286	.048	1	0	1	33.3%
vs Sean Manaea tonight's starting pitcher	0-7	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0	14.3%
vs NYM tonight's opponent (full roster)	3-23	.130	.261	.130	0	1	2	21.7%
@ Globe Life Field tonight's stadium	942-6944	.136	.191	.055	128	85	275	35.4%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.260

wOBA0.283

delta+0.023 hot

n=232 PA

Spray chart

360 balls in play since 2025· wind 5 mph blowing in

Balls in play360

HR rate4.4%

Hard-hit (95+)40%

Avg exit velo85.7 mph

Ground ball38%

Line drive23%

Fly ball27%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	HR	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-09-18	4	0	0	0	1	2	0-for-3 · 1 BB · 2 K
2026-09-16	4	1	0	0	0	0	1-for-4
2026-09-15	2	1	1	0	0	1	1-for-2 · 1 2B · 2 RBI · 1 R · 1 K
2026-09-13	4	0	0	0	0	2	0-for-4 · 2 K
2026-09-12	4	3	0	0	0	1	3-for-4 · 1 RBI · 1 R · 1 K
2026-09-09	3	0	0	0	0	1	0-for-3 · 1 K
2026-09-06	4	1	0	0	0	1	1-for-4 · 1 RBI · 1 K
2026-09-05	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-for-1 · 1 K
2026-09-04	4	1	0	1	0	0	1-for-4 · 1 HR · 5 RBI · 1 R
2026-09-03	3	1	0	0	0	0	1-for-3

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Elias Díaz across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.