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J.T. Realmuto
C · RHB · RHP · PHI
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Tonight's top play
Hits OVER 0.5+13.1% edgemodel 76% · grade S
Why: strong vs the Four-Seam (51% usage, .352 xwOBA).
Verdict
one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on J.T. Realmuto, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 9-10 | 47% | -5.5% |
| A | 11-18 | 38% | -2.0% |
| B | 12-22 | 35% | -30.0% |
Combined 32-50 · n=82 · ROI -14.4% · avg CLV +0.3 pts · beat close 52%
Matchup
J.T. Realmuto (RHB) vs Christian Scott RHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Christian Scott's arsenal × how J.T. Realmuto hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.8Plate Appearancesavg 3.8
Hitsavg 0.6
Singlesavg 0.4
Doublesavg 0.1
Total Basesavg 1.0
Home Runsavg 0.1
Strikeoutsavg 1.2
Walksavg 0.3
Tonight's lines
2026-09-18 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Same-game parlay
pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won'tSplits
Career n=451 PA · 2026-03-17 → 2026-09-16
xStats luck
xwOBA0.316
wOBA0.287
delta−0.029 due
n=449 PA
Spray chart
705 balls in play since 2025Balls in play705
HR rate3.4%
Hard-hit (95+)40%
Avg exit velo89.2 mph
Ground ball44%
Line drive27%
Fly ball24%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to J.T. Realmuto across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.