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J.T. Realmuto
C · RHB · RHP · PHI
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Tonight's top play
Hits OVER 0.5+8.3% edgemodel 74% · grade S
Why: strong vs the Slider (28% usage, .385 xwOBA).
Verdict
one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on J.T. Realmuto, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 6-5 | 55% | +94.9% |
| A | 7-9 | 44% | -7.2% |
| B | 7-11 | 39% | +16.9% |
Combined 20-25 · n=45 · ROI +27.4% · avg CLV -0.1 pts · beat close 44%
Matchup
J.T. Realmuto (RHB) vs Zack Littell RHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Zack Littell's arsenal × how J.T. Realmuto hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.5Plate Appearancesavg 3.5
Hitsavg 0.9
Singlesavg 0.6
Doublesavg 0.2
Total Basesavg 1.4
Home Runsavg 0.1
Strikeoutsavg 0.9
Walksavg 0.4
Tonight's lines
2026-08-04 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Same-game parlay
pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won'tSplits
Career n=324 PA · 2026-03-17 → 2026-08-02
xStats luck
xwOBA0.321
wOBA0.303
delta−0.018 due
n=322 PA
Spray chart
616 balls in play since 2025· wind 4 mph blowing inBalls in play616
HR rate3.4%
Hard-hit (95+)41%
Avg exit velo89.3 mph
Ground ball45%
Line drive26%
Fly ball24%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to J.T. Realmuto across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.