Victor Caratini

C · SHB · RHP · MIN

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Home vs

LAD

Starter

Eric Lauer (LHP)

Stadium

Target Field

Model HR%

20.2%

Tonight's top play

Home Runs OVER 0.5+8.7% edgemodel 20% · grade S

Why: strong vs the Four-Seam (46% usage, .361 xwOBA).

Verdict

one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?

Prop	Pick	Model	Edge	L10	Verdict
Home Runs	OVER 0.5	20%	+8.7%	20%	CAUTION

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Victor Caratini, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	2-3	40%	-33.4%
A	1-0	100%	+62.9%
B	2-2	50%	+267.8%

Combined 5-5 · n=10 · ROI +96.7% · avg CLV +0.1 pts · beat close 50%

Matchup

Victor Caratini (SHB) vs Eric Lauer LHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Eric Lauer LHP · season · 58.4 IP · 251 BF

BAA

.244

wOBA

.348

SLG

.489

ISO

.244

WHIP

1.34

HR/9

2.47

BB%

8.8%

15.9%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

0.7%

HH%

37.8%

FB%

45.2%

HR/FB%

26.2%

Victor Caratini hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	45-198	.227	.364	.136	7	13.2%	23.2%
vs LHP	12-62	.194	.258	.065	1	18.4%	33.9%

Pitch-type matchup

Eric Lauer's arsenal × how Victor Caratini hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Eric Lauer throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
TOPFour-Seam	46%	91.4	16%	.386
TOPCutter	20%	86.4	22%	.483
TOPCurveball	14%	75.1	22%	.349
Slider	11%	83.0	22%	.283
Changeup	10%	84.3	15%	.390
Sinker	0%	91.9	—	—

Victor Caratini vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
TOPFour-Seam	628	10%	.361	88.7
TOPCutter	178	12%	.401	88.7
TOPCurveball	183	24%	.534	93.2
Slider	219	37%	.361	89.7
Changeup	321	33%	.282	84.5
Sinker	235	10%	.372	92.1

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

80%8/10 · L10 · avg 1.2

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.6

Plate Appearancesavg 3.6

Hitsavg 1.2

Singlesavg 0.7

Doublesavg 0.3

Total Basesavg 2.1

Home Runsavg 0.2

Strikeoutsavg 0.5

Walksavg 0.6

Tonight's lines

2026-06-22 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	S	20%	+8.7%	+772	+0.0	Sign in

Splits

Career n=228 PA · 2026-03-16 → 2026-06-20

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	45-198	.227	.364	.136	6	7	30	23.2%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	12-62	.194	.258	.065	1	1	14	33.9%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	33-136	.243	.412	.169	5	6	16	18.4%
Last 15 days recent form	11-27	.407	.704	.296	2	2	5	14.8%
vs LAD tonight's opponent (full roster)	1-9	.111	.222	.111	1	0	1	77.8%
@ Target Field tonight's stadium	1252-2447	.512	1.106	.595	354	367	346	11.0%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.333

wOBA0.318

delta−0.015 due

n=226 PA

Spray chart

444 balls in play since 2025· wind 3 mph cross-wind

Balls in play444

HR rate4.3%

Hard-hit (95+)42%

Avg exit velo89.1 mph

Ground ball44%

Line drive25%

Fly ball25%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	HR	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-06-20	6	3	1	0	1	2	3-for-5 · 1 2B · 3 RBI · 3 R · 1 BB · 2 K
2026-06-19	4	1	0	1	2	0	1-for-2 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 1 R · 2 BB
2026-06-18	4	3	0	0	0	0	3-for-4 · 2 R
2026-06-14	4	1	0	1	1	0	1-for-3 · 1 HR · 2 RBI · 1 R · 1 BB
2026-06-13	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-for-1
2026-06-12	4	1	1	0	0	1	1-for-4 · 1 2B · 1 K
2026-06-11	3	1	0	0	1	0	1-for-2 · 1 BB
2026-06-09	5	0	0	0	0	1	0-for-5 · 1 K
2026-06-07	1	1	0	0	0	0	1-for-1 · 1 RBI
2026-06-06	4	1	1	0	1	1	1-for-3 · 1 2B · 1 BB · 1 K

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Victor Caratini across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.