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José Ramírez
3B · SHB · RHP · CLE
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on José Ramírez, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 6-1 | 86% | +140.5% |
| A | 5-6 | 45% | -34.0% |
| B | 2-6 | 25% | -12.5% |
Combined 13-13 · n=26 · ROI +19.6% · avg CLV +0.0 pts · beat close 0%
Matchup
José Ramírez (SHB) vs Jack Perkins RHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Jack Perkins's arsenal × how José Ramírez hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.3Plate Appearancesavg 4.3
Hitsavg 0.4
Singlesavg 0.4
Doublesavg 0.0
Total Basesavg 0.4
Home Runsavg 0.0
Strikeoutsavg 0.6
Walksavg 0.1
Splits
Career n=527 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-09-18
xStats luck
xwOBA0.326
wOBA0.319
delta−0.007 due
n=526 PA
Spray chart
942 balls in play since 2025· wind 8 mph blowing inBalls in play942
HR rate4.9%
Hard-hit (95+)36%
Avg exit velo88.4 mph
Ground ball33%
Line drive26%
Fly ball30%
What kind of arm does he crush?
top 3 pitcher traits by |lift|
-22.3%small sample
n=468 games · 0/8 HR when active
+21.6%significant
n=468 games · 8/42 HR when active
+21.5%significant
n=468 games · 16/91 HR when active
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature· refreshed 2026-09-15
helping tonighthurting tonightnot in play tonight
3rd time through order vs starter
0.66× HR rate
302 yes / 166 no · 68 HRs
Wind blowing out (≥10 mph, outdoor)
−30%
21 yes / 430 no · 65 HRs
Batting 3-4-5 in the order
+28%
354 yes / 114 no · 68 HRs
Cold month (Apr / Sep / Oct)
−24%
147 yes / 321 no · 68 HRs
Vs. short-leash starter (avg IP < 5.0)
−23%
193 yes / 267 no · 66 HRs
≥1 career HR vs this pitcher
+22%
42 yes / 426 no · 68 HRs
Vs. hittable pitcher (BAA > .260)
+22%
91 yes / 377 no · 68 HRs
Vs. high-xwOBA pitcher (xwOBA allowed > .340)
+21%
86 yes / 380 no · 67 HRs
Opposing starter coming off >7 days rest
+21%
74 yes / 371 no · 64 HRs
// 19 more factors — small sample / no significant lift
≥2 career HRs vs this pitcher
−22%
8 yes / 460 no · 68 HRs
Vs. fastball-heavy pitcher (FB% ≥ 55%)
+18%
239 yes / 211 no · 64 HRs
HR-friendly park (factor ≥ 1.10)
−17%
38 yes / 429 no · 68 HRs
Rested (2+ days off)
−16%
21 yes / 446 no · 68 HRs
Vs. HR-prone pitcher (HR/PA > 3.8%)
+12%
88 yes / 377 no · 66 HRs
First-pitch temperature > 78°F
−11%
79 yes / 372 no · 65 HRs
Vs. fly-ball-prone pitcher (FB% allowed > 40%)
−8%
85 yes / 380 no · 66 HRs
≥3 career HRs vs this pitcher
−7%
2 yes / 466 no · 68 HRs
Vs. pull-fly-ball-prone pitcher (>18%)
+5%
340 yes / 125 no · 66 HRs
Summer game (Jun-Aug)
neutral
194 yes / 274 no · 68 HRs
HR-suppressing park (factor ≤ 0.95)
neutral
300 yes / 167 no · 68 HRs
Hot streak (L5 avg EV > career baseline)
neutral
216 yes / 247 no · 68 HRs
Opposing starter's recent FB velo down ≥1 mph
neutral
71 yes / 319 no · 56 HRs
Playing at home
neutral
246 yes / 222 no · 68 HRs
No rest day (B2B or doubleheader)
neutral
363 yes / 104 no · 68 HRs
Vs. high-contact-quality pitcher (avg EV allowed ≥ 89 mph)
neutral
207 yes / 261 no · 68 HRs
Vs. low-whiff pitcher (whiff% < 22%)
neutral
0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs
Platoon advantage (LHB-vs-RHP or RHB-vs-LHP)
neutral
0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs
Vs. barrel-prone pitcher (Barrel% allowed > 9%)
neutral
0 yes / 465 no · 66 HRs
// LIFT = P(HR | factor true) ÷ P(HR | factor false), Bayesian- shrunk with K=30 pseudo-games. Significance requires |lift − 1| ≥ 0.20 AND smaller cohort n ≥ 15. Cohort = top 60 HR hitters, last 2 seasons. Refreshed weekly. Green/red = the factor's effect on tonight's HR chance; gray = not in play tonight.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to José Ramírez across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.