← BACK TO SLATE
Corey Seager
SS · LHB · RHP · TEX
Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Corey Seager, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 1-0 | 100% | +51.0% |
| A | — | — | — |
| B | — | — | — |
Combined 1-0 · n=1 · ROI +51.0% · avg CLV +0.0 pts · beat close 0%
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.0Plate Appearancesavg 4.0
Hitsavg 0.9
Singlesavg 0.7
Doublesavg 0.1
Total Basesavg 1.3
Home Runsavg 0.1
Strikeoutsavg 0.7
Walksavg 0.3
Splits
Career n=273 PA · 2026-03-16 → 2026-08-10
xStats luck
xwOBA0.341
wOBA0.316
delta−0.025 due
n=272 PA
Spray chart
469 balls in play since 2025Balls in play469
HR rate7.2%
Hard-hit (95+)48%
Avg exit velo92.2 mph
Ground ball43%
Line drive22%
Fly ball32%
What kind of arm does he crush?
top 3 pitcher traits by |lift|
+39.1%significant
n=319 games · 16/51 HR when active
-23.4%significant
n=279 games · 6/43 HR when active
+29.0%significant
n=319 games · 17/60 HR when active
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature· refreshed 2026-08-11
helping tonighthurting tonightnot in play tonight
Vs. HR-prone pitcher (HR/PA > 3.8%)
+39%
51 yes / 268 no · 69 HRs
First-pitch temperature > 78°F
+31%
112 yes / 192 no · 67 HRs
Vs. hittable pitcher (BAA > .260)
+29%
60 yes / 259 no · 69 HRs
Batting 3-4-5 in the order
−24%
101 yes / 218 no · 69 HRs
Opposing starter's recent FB velo down ≥1 mph
−23%
43 yes / 236 no · 58 HRs
Summer game (Jun-Aug)
+23%
156 yes / 163 no · 69 HRs
3rd time through order vs starter
−23%
226 yes / 93 no · 69 HRs
≥1 career HR vs this pitcher
−22%
41 yes / 278 no · 69 HRs
Opposing starter coming off >7 days rest
−20%
49 yes / 247 no · 66 HRs
// 19 more factors — small sample / no significant lift
Vs. fastball-heavy pitcher (FB% ≥ 55%)
−16%
182 yes / 130 no · 66 HRs
Playing at home
+16%
171 yes / 148 no · 69 HRs
Vs. high-xwOBA pitcher (xwOBA allowed > .340)
+13%
52 yes / 267 no · 69 HRs
Vs. pull-fly-ball-prone pitcher (>18%)
+13%
221 yes / 98 no · 69 HRs
HR-friendly park (factor ≥ 1.10)
+13%
187 yes / 131 no · 69 HRs
HR-suppressing park (factor ≤ 0.95)
−12%
39 yes / 279 no · 69 HRs
Wind blowing out (≥10 mph, outdoor)
−10%
3 yes / 301 no · 67 HRs
≥2 career HRs vs this pitcher
−10%
3 yes / 316 no · 69 HRs
Platoon advantage (LHB-vs-RHP or RHB-vs-LHP)
+9%
178 yes / 43 no · 46 HRs
Vs. high-contact-quality pitcher (avg EV allowed ≥ 89 mph)
−8%
165 yes / 154 no · 69 HRs
Vs. fly-ball-prone pitcher (FB% allowed > 40%)
+5%
43 yes / 276 no · 69 HRs
Hot streak (L5 avg EV > career baseline)
neutral
134 yes / 180 no · 69 HRs
Vs. short-leash starter (avg IP < 5.0)
neutral
119 yes / 196 no · 68 HRs
No rest day (B2B or doubleheader)
neutral
236 yes / 82 no · 69 HRs
Cold month (Apr / Sep / Oct)
neutral
97 yes / 222 no · 69 HRs
Rested (2+ days off)
neutral
23 yes / 295 no · 69 HRs
Vs. low-whiff pitcher (whiff% < 22%)
neutral
0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs
≥3 career HRs vs this pitcher
neutral
0 yes / 319 no · 69 HRs
Vs. barrel-prone pitcher (Barrel% allowed > 9%)
neutral
0 yes / 319 no · 69 HRs
// LIFT = P(HR | factor true) ÷ P(HR | factor false), Bayesian- shrunk with K=30 pseudo-games. Significance requires |lift − 1| ≥ 0.20 AND smaller cohort n ≥ 15. Cohort = top 60 HR hitters, last 2 seasons. Refreshed weekly. Green/red = the factor's effect on tonight's HR chance; gray = not in play tonight.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Corey Seager across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.