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Michael Conforto
DH · LHB · RHP · CHC
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Tonight's top play
Hits OVER 0.5+6.0% edgemodel 66% · grade A
Why: strong vs the Sinker (30% usage, .443 xwOBA).
Verdict
one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Michael Conforto, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 15-10 | 60% | +10.4% |
| A | 5-5 | 50% | -23.6% |
| B | 3-5 | 38% | +100.3% |
Combined 23-20 · n=43 · ROI +19.2% · avg CLV +0.4 pts · beat close 50%
Matchup
Michael Conforto (LHB) vs Rhett Lowder RHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Rhett Lowder's arsenal × how Michael Conforto hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.4Plate Appearancesavg 3.4
Hitsavg 0.8
Singlesavg 0.6
Doublesavg 0.2
Total Basesavg 1.0
Home Runsavg 0.0
Strikeoutsavg 0.5
Walksavg 0.4
Tonight's lines
2026-09-20 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Same-game parlay
pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won'tSplits
Career n=310 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-09-18
xStats luck
xwOBA0.319
wOBA0.352
delta+0.033 hot
n=310 PA
Spray chart
496 balls in play since 2025· wind 8 mph blowing inBalls in play496
HR rate5.2%
Hard-hit (95+)42%
Avg exit velo90.2 mph
Ground ball41%
Line drive23%
Fly ball31%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Michael Conforto across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.