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Cody Bellinger
LF · LHB · LHP · NYY
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Cody Bellinger, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 7-1 | 88% | +33.4% |
| A | 3-2 | 60% | +81.6% |
| B | 5-8 | 38% | -2.0% |
Combined 15-11 · n=26 · ROI +25.0% · avg CLV -0.8 pts · beat close 0%
Matchup
Cody Bellinger (LHB) vs Eduardo Rodriguez LHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Eduardo Rodriguez's arsenal × how Cody Bellinger hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.3Plate Appearancesavg 4.3
Hitsavg 1.6
Singlesavg 0.9
Doublesavg 0.3
Total Basesavg 3.1
Home Runsavg 0.4
Strikeoutsavg 0.4
Walksavg 0.2
Splits
Career n=551 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-09-16
xStats luck
xwOBA0.324
wOBA0.331
delta+0.007 hot
n=549 PA
Spray chart
951 balls in play since 2025· wind 6 mph cross-windBalls in play951
HR rate5.0%
Hard-hit (95+)38%
Avg exit velo89.0 mph
Ground ball34%
Line drive24%
Fly ball33%
What kind of arm does he crush?
top 3 pitcher traits by |lift|
+88.2%significant
n=441 games · 24/95 HR when active
-39.3%significant
n=442 games · 3/48 HR when active
+56.6%significant
n=442 games · 21/96 HR when active
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature· refreshed 2026-09-15
helping tonighthurting tonightnot in play tonight
Vs. HR-prone pitcher (HR/PA > 3.8%)
1.88× HR rate
95 yes / 346 no · 65 HRs
Vs. hittable pitcher (BAA > .260)
1.57× HR rate
96 yes / 346 no · 65 HRs
Wind blowing out (≥10 mph, outdoor)
0.54× HR rate
23 yes / 401 no · 64 HRs
Vs. high-xwOBA pitcher (xwOBA allowed > .340)
+46%
97 yes / 344 no · 65 HRs
Opposing starter's recent FB velo down ≥1 mph
+44%
62 yes / 318 no · 50 HRs
≥1 career HR vs this pitcher
0.61× HR rate
48 yes / 394 no · 65 HRs
HR-suppressing park (factor ≤ 0.95)
0.66× HR rate
52 yes / 389 no · 65 HRs
Hot streak (L5 avg EV > career baseline)
+34%
238 yes / 199 no · 64 HRs
Vs. high-contact-quality pitcher (avg EV allowed ≥ 89 mph)
+33%
182 yes / 260 no · 65 HRs
Opposing starter coming off >7 days rest
+30%
67 yes / 356 no · 62 HRs
Playing at home
+28%
235 yes / 207 no · 65 HRs
First-pitch temperature > 78°F
+27%
102 yes / 322 no · 64 HRs
Rested (2+ days off)
−25%
18 yes / 423 no · 65 HRs
// 15 more factors — small sample / no significant lift
Vs. barrel-prone pitcher (Barrel% allowed > 9%)
+20%
1 yes / 439 no · 65 HRs
Cold month (Apr / Sep / Oct)
+18%
144 yes / 298 no · 65 HRs
Platoon advantage (LHB-vs-RHP or RHB-vs-LHP)
+18%
218 yes / 87 no · 41 HRs
3rd time through order vs starter
−17%
255 yes / 187 no · 65 HRs
Vs. pull-fly-ball-prone pitcher (>18%)
−14%
333 yes / 107 no · 65 HRs
Batting 3-4-5 in the order
−13%
378 yes / 64 no · 65 HRs
≥2 career HRs vs this pitcher
−13%
4 yes / 438 no · 65 HRs
HR-friendly park (factor ≥ 1.10)
+11%
204 yes / 237 no · 65 HRs
No rest day (B2B or doubleheader)
+10%
344 yes / 97 no · 65 HRs
Vs. fastball-heavy pitcher (FB% ≥ 55%)
−10%
256 yes / 167 no · 59 HRs
Summer game (Jun-Aug)
+8%
194 yes / 248 no · 65 HRs
Vs. fly-ball-prone pitcher (FB% allowed > 40%)
+8%
62 yes / 378 no · 65 HRs
Vs. short-leash starter (avg IP < 5.0)
neutral
160 yes / 276 no · 65 HRs
Vs. low-whiff pitcher (whiff% < 22%)
neutral
0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs
≥3 career HRs vs this pitcher
neutral
0 yes / 442 no · 65 HRs
// LIFT = P(HR | factor true) ÷ P(HR | factor false), Bayesian- shrunk with K=30 pseudo-games. Significance requires |lift − 1| ≥ 0.20 AND smaller cohort n ≥ 15. Cohort = top 60 HR hitters, last 2 seasons. Refreshed weekly. Green/red = the factor's effect on tonight's HR chance; gray = not in play tonight.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Cody Bellinger across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.