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J.P. Crawford
SS · LHB · RHP · SEA
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Tonight's top play
Hits UNDER 1.5+9.3% edgemodel 74% · grade S
Verdict
one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on J.P. Crawford, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 7-4 | 64% | +22.9% |
| A | 2-11 | 15% | -74.8% |
| B | 0-9 | 0% | -100.0% |
Combined 9-24 · n=33 · ROI -49.1% · avg CLV -1.4 pts · beat close 47%
Matchup
J.P. Crawford (LHB) vs Tomoyuki Sugano RHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Tomoyuki Sugano's arsenal × how J.P. Crawford hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.8Plate Appearancesavg 4.8
Hitsavg 0.9
Singlesavg 0.6
Doublesavg 0.0
Total Basesavg 1.8
Home Runsavg 0.3
Strikeoutsavg 0.7
Walksavg 0.2
Tonight's lines
2026-09-20 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Same-game parlay
pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won'tSplits
Career n=459 PA · 2026-04-03 → 2026-09-18
xStats luck
xwOBA0.319
wOBA0.304
delta−0.015 due
n=459 PA
Spray chart
806 balls in play since 2025· wind 9 mph cross-windBalls in play806
HR rate3.2%
Hard-hit (95+)33%
Avg exit velo86.6 mph
Ground ball46%
Line drive24%
Fly ball23%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to J.P. Crawford across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.