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Zach McKinstry
RF · LHB · RHP · DET
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Tonight's top play
Hits OVER 0.5+8.4% edgemodel 65% · grade S
Why: strong vs the Sweeper (29% usage, .502 xwOBA).
Verdict
one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Zach McKinstry, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 18-15 | 55% | +28.8% |
| A | 7-11 | 39% | +21.0% |
| B | 8-6 | 57% | -6.0% |
Combined 33-32 · n=65 · ROI +19.1% · avg CLV +0.2 pts · beat close 43%
Matchup
Zach McKinstry (LHB) vs Erick Fedde RHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Erick Fedde's arsenal × how Zach McKinstry hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.8Plate Appearancesavg 3.8
Hitsavg 0.4
Singlesavg 0.3
Doublesavg 0.0
Total Basesavg 0.6
Home Runsavg 0.0
Strikeoutsavg 0.7
Walksavg 0.4
Tonight's lines
2026-09-17 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Same-game parlay
pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won'tSplits
Career n=430 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-09-15
xStats luck
xwOBA0.266
wOBA0.257
delta−0.009 due
n=430 PA
Spray chart
699 balls in play since 2025Balls in play699
HR rate2.4%
Hard-hit (95+)25%
Avg exit velo85.5 mph
Ground ball41%
Line drive28%
Fly ball26%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Zach McKinstry across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.