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Jake Mangum
CF · SHB · LHP · PIT
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Tonight's top play
Hits OVER 1.5+0.9% edgemodel 28% · grade PASS
Why: strong vs the Four-Seam (19% usage, .383 xwOBA).
Verdict
one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Jake Mangum, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 9-7 | 56% | +8.3% |
| A | 3-1 | 75% | +65.8% |
| B | 6-4 | 60% | +40.6% |
Combined 18-12 · n=30 · ROI +26.7% · avg CLV -0.6 pts · beat close 43%
Matchup
Jake Mangum (SHB) vs Dustin May RHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Dustin May's arsenal × how Jake Mangum hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.7Plate Appearancesavg 4.7
Hitsavg 1.1
Singlesavg 0.9
Doublesavg 0.1
Total Basesavg 1.5
Home Runsavg 0.1
Strikeoutsavg 1.3
Walksavg 0.3
Tonight's lines
2026-08-06 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Same-game parlay
pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won'tSplits
Career n=346 PA · 2026-03-16 → 2026-08-04
xStats luck
xwOBA0.269
wOBA0.316
delta+0.047 hot
n=344 PA
Spray chart
601 balls in play since 2025· wind 3 mph cross-windBalls in play601
HR rate1.3%
Hard-hit (95+)30%
Avg exit velo85.8 mph
Ground ball61%
Line drive20%
Fly ball15%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Jake Mangum across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.