Ian Happ

LF · SHB · RHP · CHC

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Away @

CIN

Starter

Chase Burns (RHP)

Stadium

Great American Ball Park

Model HR%

19.7%

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Ian Happ, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	12-6	67%	+21.3%
A	7-10	41%	+1.3%
B	4-17	19%	-26.0%

Combined 23-33 · n=56 · ROI -2.5% · avg CLV +0.4 pts · beat close 53%

Matchup

Ian Happ (SHB) vs Chase Burns RHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Chase Burns RHP · season · 149.8 IP · 644 BF

BAA

.216

wOBA

.286

SLG

.360

ISO

.145

WHIP

1.22

HR/9

1.02

BB%

8.7%

29.5%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

3.0%

HH%

40.2%

FB%

40.5%

HR/FB%

12.4%

Ian Happ hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	116-531	.218	.412	.194	24	14.5%	34.5%
vs RHP	96-398	.241	.460	.219	20	16.4%	33.9%

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

40%4/10 · L10 · avg 0.5

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.5

Plate Appearancesavg 3.5

Hitsavg 0.5

Singlesavg 0.4

Doublesavg 0.1

Total Basesavg 0.6

Home Runsavg 0.0

Strikeoutsavg 0.9

Walksavg 0.9

Tonight's lines

2026-09-15 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	UNDER	PASS	80%	—	—	—	Sign in to save	Sign in

Splits

Career n=621 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-09-16

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	116-531	.218	.412	.194	27	2	24	90	34.5%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	20-133	.150	.271	.120	4	0	4	12	36.1%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	96-398	.241	.460	.219	23	2	20	78	33.9%
Last 15 days recent form	6-29	.207	.276	.069	2	0	0	9	31.0%
vs CIN tonight's opponent (full roster)	27-128	.211	.344	.133	8	0	3	19	32.0%
@ Great American Ball Park tonight's stadium	324-1437	.225	.335	.110	158	0	0	479	44.7%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.311

wOBA0.321

delta+0.010 hot

n=621 PA

Spray chart

785 balls in play since 2025· wind 4 mph blowing out

Balls in play785

HR rate6.2%

Hard-hit (95+)41%

Avg exit velo89.2 mph

Ground ball38%

Line drive23%

Fly ball31%

What kind of arm does he crush?

top 3 pitcher traits by |lift|

Vs. fastball-heavy pitcher (FB% ≥ 55%)

+58.3%significant

n=467 games · 45/272 HR when active

≥2 career HRs vs this pitcher

+52.6%small sample

n=484 games · 3/5 HR when active

Vs. fly-ball-prone pitcher (FB% allowed > 40%)

-32.7%significant

n=482 games · 6/72 HR when active

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-09-16	2	1	1	0	0	1-for-2 · 1 2B
2026-09-15	1	0	0	0	0	0-for-1
2026-09-14	4	1	1	1	0	1-for-3 · 1 2B · 1 R · 1 BB
2026-09-13	4	0	0	2	0	0-for-2 · 2 BB
2026-09-12	3	0	0	1	0	0-for-2 · 1 BB
2026-09-11	3	1	0	1	0	1-for-2 · 1 R · 1 BB
2026-09-09	4	0	0	1	2	0-for-3 · 1 RBI · 1 R · 1 BB · 2 K
2026-09-08	2	0	0	0	2	0-for-2 · 2 K
2026-09-07	2	0	0	1	0	0-for-1 · 1 BB
2026-09-05	5	2	0	1	1	2-for-4 · 2 RBI · 1 BB · 1 K

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Ian Happ across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.