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Alec Bohm
3B · RHB · RHP · PHI
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Tonight's top play
Hits OVER 0.5+5.5% edgemodel 76% · grade A
Why: strong vs the Cutter (47% usage, .347 xwOBA).
Verdict
one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Alec Bohm, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 9-7 | 56% | +3.1% |
| A | 5-12 | 29% | -30.4% |
| B | 7-14 | 33% | -34.3% |
Combined 21-33 · n=54 · ROI -22.0% · avg CLV +1.3 pts · beat close 46%
Matchup
Alec Bohm (RHB) vs Zac Thornton LHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Zac Thornton's arsenal × how Alec Bohm hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.1Plate Appearancesavg 4.1
Hitsavg 1.1
Singlesavg 0.7
Doublesavg 0.4
Total Basesavg 1.5
Home Runsavg 0.0
Strikeoutsavg 0.5
Walksavg 0.6
Tonight's lines
2026-09-18 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Same-game parlay
pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won'tSplits
Career n=614 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-09-16
xStats luck
xwOBA0.329
wOBA0.321
delta−0.008 due
n=610 PA
Spray chart
877 balls in play since 2025Balls in play877
HR rate3.0%
Hard-hit (95+)48%
Avg exit velo91.5 mph
Ground ball49%
Line drive26%
Fly ball22%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Alec Bohm across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.