Alec Bohm

3B · RHB · RHP · PHI

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Home vs

WSH

Starter

Zack Littell (RHP)

Stadium

Citizens Bank Park

Model HR%

15.2%

Model Hits%

72.0%

Model K%

29.8%

Tonight's top play

Hits OVER 0.5+13.8% edgemodel 81% · grade S

Why: strong vs the Slider (28% usage, .355 xwOBA).

Verdict

one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?

Prop	Pick	Model	Edge	L10	Verdict
Hits	OVER 0.5	81%	+13.8%	70%	STRONG
Home Runs	OVER 0.5	16%	+8.4%	0%	CAUTION

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Alec Bohm, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	6-2	75%	+29.3%
A	5-7	42%	-15.1%
B	3-6	33%	-33.2%

Combined 14-15 · n=29 · ROI -8.5% · avg CLV +0.4 pts · beat close 50%

Matchup

Alec Bohm (RHB) vs Zack Littell RHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Zack Littell RHP · season · 110.0 IP · 473 BF

BAA

.258

wOBA

.373

SLG

.470

ISO

.212

WHIP

1.40

HR/9

2.05

BB%

9.1%

15.0%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

2.7%

HH%

45.3%

FB%

40.2%

HR/FB%

21.0%

Alec Bohm hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	94-428	.220	.350	.131	13	7.6%	16.1%
vs RHP	63-292	.216	.318	.103	7	8.5%	16.8%

Pitch-type matchup

Zack Littell's arsenal × how Alec Bohm hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Zack Littell throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
TOPSlider	28%	87.4	17%	.418
Splitter	25%	83.5	22%	.336
TOPFour-Seam	25%	91.9	17%	.424
Sinker	15%	91.4	10%	.385
Sweeper	6%	79.3	19%	.295

Alec Bohm vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
TOPSlider	428	28%	.355	89.3
Splitter	51	18%	.317	89.2
TOPFour-Seam	824	10%	.352	91.3
Sinker	504	6%	.331	91.8
Sweeper	229	18%	.317	87.5

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

70%7/10 · L10 · avg 0.9

Our model81% OVER+13.8% edgeS

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.2

Plate Appearancesavg 4.2

Hitsavg 0.9

Singlesavg 0.8

Doublesavg 0.1

Total Basesavg 1.0

Home Runsavg 0.0

Strikeoutsavg 0.6

Walksavg 0.2

Tonight's lines

2026-07-31 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Doubles + Triples

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	PASS	13%	—	+475	-0.9	Sign in to save	—

Hits

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	S	81%	+13.8%	-200	-2.3	Sign in to save	Sign in
1.5	OVER	S	40%	+10.8%	+240	-4.5	Sign in to save	Sign in
2.5	OVER	PASS	10%	+0.9%	+1000	-2.0	Sign in to save	Sign in

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	S	16%	+8.4%	+1241	-1.0	Sign in to save	Sign in

RBIs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	S	13%	—	+222	-0.4	Sign in to save	—

Singles

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	A	63%	—	-135	-3.3	Sign in to save	—

Strikeouts

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	PASS	32%	—	—	—	Sign in to save	—

Total Bases

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
1.5	—	S	49%	—	+176	-3.8	Sign in to save	—

Same-game parlay

pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won't

Splits

Career n=463 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-08-02

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	94-428	.220	.350	.131	17	13	35	16.1%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	31-136	.228	.419	.191	8	6	8	14.7%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	63-292	.216	.318	.103	9	7	27	16.8%
Last 15 days recent form	13-47	.277	.383	.106	2	1	3	14.9%
vs Zack Littell tonight's starting pitcher	3-7	.429	.429	.000	0	0	1	0.0%
@ Citizens Bank Park tonight's stadium	4494-15361	.293	.508	.215	931	792	626	19.2%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.305

wOBA0.299

delta−0.006 due

n=459 PA

Spray chart

763 balls in play since 2025· wind 6 mph cross-wind

Balls in play763

HR rate3.1%

Hard-hit (95+)48%

Avg exit velo91.7 mph

Ground ball50%

Line drive25%

Fly ball21%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-08-03	4	1	0	0	0	1-for-4
2026-08-02	4	2	0	0	0	2-for-4 · 1 R
2026-08-01	5	1	0	0	1	1-for-5 · 1 RBI · 1 SB · 1 K
2026-07-31	4	0	0	0	1	0-for-4 · 1 K
2026-07-29	4	1	0	0	0	1-for-4 · 1 RBI
2026-07-28	4	1	0	1	1	1-for-3 · 1 BB · 1 K
2026-07-27	4	2	0	0	1	2-for-4 · 1 RBI · 1 R · 1 K
2026-07-26	5	1	1	0	2	1-for-5 · 1 2B · 4 RBI · 2 R · 2 K
2026-07-25	4	0	0	1	0	0-for-3 · 1 BB
2026-07-24	4	0	0	0	0	0-for-4

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Alec Bohm across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.