← BACK TO SLATE Tonight's top play
Home Runs UNDER 0.5 +3.4% edge model 82% · grade B
Why: struggles vs the Splitter (15% usage, .284 xwOBA).
Verdict one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality? Prop Pick Model Edge L10 Verdict Home Runs UNDER 0.5 82% +3.4% 80% STRONG Hits UNDER 0.5 36% +1.2% 20% CAUTION
Our track record settled S/A/B picks on Kody Clemens, by confidence tier Tier Record Hit rate ROI S 8-7 53% -3.0% A 12-4 75% +75.9% B 4-5 44% -31.7%
Combined 24-16 · n=40 · ROI +22.1% · avg CLV -0.1 pts · beat close 40%
Matchup Kody Clemens (LHB) vs Ryan Johnson RHP favors batter favors pitcher Ryan Johnson RHP · season · 99.3 IP · 427 BF
Kody Clemens hitting
Split H-AB BA SLG ISO HR BB% K% Season 123-528 .233 .458 .225 27 8.0% 24.1% vs RHP 90-381 .236 .478 .241 21 8.4% 23.9%
Pitch-type matchup Ryan Johnson's arsenal × how Kody Clemens hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot Ryan Johnson throws
Pitch Usage Velo Whiff xwOBA TOP Cutter39% 90.7 25% .313 TOP Sinker22% 93.6 9% .413 TOP Sweeper20% 80.8 32% .363 Splitter 15% 84.6 38% .257 Slider 3% 86.5 25% .424 Four-Seam 1% 94.9 0% 1.423
Kody Clemens vs each
Pitch Seen Whiff xwOBA EV TOP Cutter165 18% .642 96.6 TOP Sinker271 16% .413 89.6 TOP Sweeper130 16% .396 84.0 Splitter 97 22% .284 87.0 Slider 254 26% .518 92.2 Four-Seam 881 21% .361 92.9
xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under Hits80% Total Bases50% Home Runs20% Singles40% Doubles10% Triples10% Strikeouts60% Walks40% RBIs40% Runs Scored60% Hits + Runs + RBIs100% Stolen Bases10%
80% 8/10 · L10 · avg 0.9
Our model 36% UNDER +1.2% edge PASS
1 @DET 09-08 1 @DET 09-09 2 vCLE 09-11 1 vCLE 09-12 1 vCLE 09-13 0 vNYY 09-14 1 vNYY 09-15 1 vNYY 09-16 1 @LAA 09-17 0 @LAA 09-18
L5 60% 3/5 L10 80% 8/10 L20 65% 13/20 2026 60% 91/152 2025 48% 57/120
Recent form per-game over the last 10 Avg PA 4.3 Plate Appearances avg 4.3
4 4 4 4 4 5 4 5 5 4 Total Bases avg 1.8
4 4 2 1 2 0 3 1 1 0 Home Runs avg 0.2
1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Strikeouts avg 0.8
0 1 0 2 1 1 0 2 1 0
Tonight's lines 2026-09-20 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)
Same-game parlay pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won't Hits UNDER 0.5+186 Hits OVER 1.5+280 Home Runs UNDER 0.5-370
Price legs
Splits Career n=574 PA · 2026-03-16 → 2026-09-18
Split H-AB BA SLG ISO 2B 3B HR BB K% Season
2026 season
123-528 .233 .458 .225 22 8 27 46 24.1% vs LHP
left-handed pitching
33-147 .224 .408 .184 3 3 6 11 24.5% vs RHP
right-handed pitching
90-381 .236 .478 .241 19 5 21 35 23.9% Last 15 days
recent form
10-49 .204 .388 .184 1 1 2 6 22.4% vs LAA
tonight's opponent (full roster)
1-20 .050 .050 .000 0 0 0 2 20.0% @ Angel Stadium
tonight's stadium
18-144 .125 .125 .000 0 0 0 18 12.5%
xStats luck
xwOBA 0.320
wOBA 0.322
delta +0.002 hot
n=574 PA
Spray chart 678 balls in play since 2025 1B 2B 3B HR OUTAll vLHP vRHP
Match Ryan Johnson's mix Balls in play 678
HR rate 6.8%
Hard-hit (95+) 48%
Avg exit velo 91.9 mph
Ground ball 37%
Line drive 23%
Fly ball 33%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Date PA H 2B 3B HR BB K Outcomes 2026-09-18 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0-for-4 · 1 R 2026-09-17 5 1 0 0 0 1 1 1-for-4 · 1 BB · 1 K 2026-09-16 5 1 0 0 0 1 2 1-for-4 · 1 SB · 1 BB · 2 K 2026-09-15 4 1 0 1 0 0 0 1-for-4 · 1 3B 2026-09-14 5 0 0 0 0 0 1 0-for-5 · 1 R · 1 K 2026-09-13 4 1 1 0 0 1 1 1-for-3 · 1 2B · 1 RBI · 1 BB · 1 K 2026-09-12 4 1 0 0 0 0 2 1-for-4 · 1 RBI · 1 R · 2 K 2026-09-11 4 2 0 0 0 0 0 2-for-4 · 1 R 2026-09-09 4 1 0 0 1 0 1 1-for-4 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 1 R · 1 K 2026-09-08 4 1 0 0 1 1 0 1-for-3 · 1 HR · 2 RBI · 1 R · 1 BB
Nearest neighbors Top 10 hitters most similar to Kody Clemens across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.