Jonathan Aranda

1B · LHB · RHP · TBR

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Home vs

BOS

Starter

Ranger Suarez (LHP)

Stadium

Tropicana Field

Model HR%

13.6%

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Jonathan Aranda, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	12-9	57%	-1.9%
A	10-16	38%	+6.7%
B	4-13	24%	-20.6%

Combined 26-38 · n=64 · ROI -3.4% · avg CLV -2.6 pts · beat close 33%

Matchup

Jonathan Aranda (LHB) vs Ranger Suarez LHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Ranger Suarez LHP · season · 137.9 IP · 593 BF

BAA

.244

wOBA

.300

SLG

.352

ISO

.108

WHIP

1.31

HR/9

0.72

BB%

8.1%

22.6%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

2.0%

HH%

33.3%

FB%

30.3%

HR/FB%

10.2%

Jonathan Aranda hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	157-583	.269	.425	.156	22	11.5%	26.4%
vs LHP	37-160	.231	.313	.081	3	11.1%	31.3%

Pitch-type matchup

Ranger Suarez's arsenal × how Jonathan Aranda hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Ranger Suarez throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
TOPSinker	29%	90.2	9%	.344
TOPChangeup	19%	79.9	30%	.317
TOPCutter	18%	86.8	16%	.355
TOPCurveball	16%	74.3	27%	.242
TOPFour-Seam	15%	91.5	14%	.408
Slider	4%	79.6	60%	.370

Jonathan Aranda vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
TOPSinker	411	14%	.475	93.8
TOPChangeup	216	16%	.414	87.9
TOPCutter	223	31%	.511	93.4
TOPCurveball	179	25%	.546	95.7
TOPFour-Seam	1013	22%	.476	93.6
Slider	315	23%	.470	91.7

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

80%8/10 · L10 · avg 1.2

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.3

Plate Appearancesavg 4.3

Hitsavg 1.2

Singlesavg 0.5

Doublesavg 0.3

Total Basesavg 2.7

Home Runsavg 0.4

Strikeoutsavg 1.2

Walksavg 0.3

Tonight's lines

2026-09-18 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	UNDER	PASS	86%	—	—	—	Sign in to save	Sign in

Splits

Career n=659 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-09-15

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	157-583	.269	.425	.156	25	22	76	26.4%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	37-160	.231	.313	.081	4	3	20	31.3%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	120-423	.284	.468	.184	21	19	56	24.6%
Last 15 days recent form	12-41	.293	.659	.366	3	4	6	36.6%
vs BOS tonight's opponent (full roster)	10-62	.161	.194	.032	2	0	9	33.9%
@ Tropicana Field tonight's stadium	7252-26312	.276	.447	.171	1612	964	2374	25.7%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.336

wOBA0.348

delta+0.012 hot

n=653 PA

Spray chart

702 balls in play since 2025

Balls in play702

HR rate5.3%

Hard-hit (95+)49%

Avg exit velo92.3 mph

Ground ball37%

Line drive28%

Fly ball30%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	HR	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-09-15	4	1	0	0	0	2	1-for-4 · 2 K
2026-09-13	5	2	0	2	1	2	2-for-4 · 2 HR · 3 RBI · 2 R · 1 BB · 2 K
2026-09-12	4	1	0	0	1	0	1-for-3 · 1 BB
2026-09-11	4	1	1	0	0	1	1-for-4 · 1 2B · 1 K
2026-09-10	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-for-1
2026-09-09	5	0	0	0	0	2	0-for-5 · 1 R · 2 K
2026-09-08	5	1	0	0	1	1	1-for-4 · 1 BB · 1 K
2026-09-06	5	2	1	0	0	0	2-for-5 · 1 2B · 1 RBI
2026-09-05	5	2	0	1	0	2	2-for-5 · 1 HR · 3 RBI · 2 R · 2 K
2026-09-04	5	2	1	1	0	2	2-for-5 · 1 HR · 2 RBI · 2 R · 2 K

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Jonathan Aranda across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.