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Hits OVER 0.5 +1.7% edge model 66% · grade PASS
Why: strong vs the Four-Seam (32% usage, .378 xwOBA).
Verdict one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality? Prop Pick Model Edge L10 Verdict Hits OVER 0.5 66% +1.7% 80% LEAN Home Runs OVER 0.5 10% +0.7% 0% CAUTION
Our track record settled S/A/B picks on Dane Myers, by confidence tier Tier Record Hit rate ROI S 0-2 0% -100.0% A — — — B 1-2 33% -49.0%
Combined 1-4 · n=5 · ROI -69.4% · avg CLV +1.0 pts · beat close 33%
Matchup Dane Myers (RHB) vs Cade Cavalli RHP favors batter favors pitcher Cade Cavalli RHP · season · 127.0 IP · 546 BF
Dane Myers hitting
Split H-AB BA SLG ISO HR BB% K% Season 49-183 .268 .361 .093 3 13.7% 30.1% vs RHP 26-99 .263 .313 .051 1 13.9% 32.3%
Pitch-type matchup Cade Cavalli's arsenal × how Dane Myers hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot Cade Cavalli throws
Pitch Usage Velo Whiff xwOBA TOP Four-Seam32% 96.7 18% .420 TOP Knuckle Curve29% 85.5 39% .355 TOP Sinker17% 96.4 9% .351 Changeup 11% 89.5 34% .251 Sweeper 7% 85.2 22% .326 Cutter 4% 93.7 9% .345 Pitchout 0% 92.1 — —
Dane Myers vs each
Pitch Seen Whiff xwOBA EV TOP Four-Seam543 18% .378 91.7 TOP Knuckle Curve25 7% .370 82.3 TOP Sinker359 11% .397 91.6 Changeup 121 30% .637 95.4 Sweeper 102 20% .429 89.9 Cutter 130 26% .231 84.0 Pitchout 1 — — —
xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under Hits80% Total Bases30% Home Runs0% Singles70% Doubles10% Triples0% Strikeouts90% Walks40% RBIs20% Runs Scored30% Hits + Runs + RBIs90% Stolen Bases10%
80% 8/10 · L10 · avg 1.0
Our model 66% OVER +1.7% edge PASS
1 @STL 07-26 1 vCLE 07-28 2 vCLE 07-28 1 vCLE 07-29 2 vPIT 07-30 1 vPIT 07-31 1 vPIT 08-02 0 vOAK 08-04 1 vOAK 08-05 0 vOAK 08-06
L5 60% 3/5 L10 80% 8/10 L20 65% 13/20 2026 51% 45/88 2025 50% 55/109
Recent form per-game over the last 10 Avg PA 4.1 Plate Appearances avg 4.1
5 3 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 4 Total Bases avg 1.1
1 1 2 1 2 1 2 0 1 0 Home Runs avg 0.0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Strikeouts avg 1.4
3 1 1 0 1 1 1 2 1 3
Tonight's lines 2026-08-07 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled) Singles
Line Side Grade Model Edge Odds Move Save Track 0.5 — PASS 52% — -105 +3.4 Sign in to save —
Total Bases
Line Side Grade Model Edge Odds Move Save Track 1.5 — PASS 31% — +186 -3.1 Sign in to save —
Same-game parlay pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won't Hits OVER 0.5-182 Home Runs OVER 0.5+1000
Price legs
Splits Career n=212 PA · 2026-03-16 → 2026-08-05
Split H-AB BA SLG ISO 2B 3B HR BB K% Season
2026 season
49-183 .268 .361 .093 8 0 3 29 30.1% vs LHP
left-handed pitching
23-84 .274 .417 .143 6 0 2 13 27.4% vs RHP
right-handed pitching
26-99 .263 .313 .051 2 0 1 16 32.3% Last 15 days
recent form
10-37 .270 .297 .027 1 0 0 4 35.1%
xStats luck
xwOBA 0.307
wOBA 0.309
delta +0.002 hot
n=212 PA
Spray chart 376 balls in play since 2025 1B 2B 3B HR OUTAll vLHP vRHP
Match Cade Cavalli's mix Balls in play 376
HR rate 2.7%
Hard-hit (95+) 43%
Avg exit velo 89.4 mph
Ground ball 45%
Line drive 24%
Fly ball 24%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Date PA H 2B 3B HR BB K Outcomes 2026-08-06 4 0 0 0 0 1 3 0-for-3 · 1 RBI · 1 BB · 3 K 2026-08-05 4 1 0 0 0 0 1 1-for-4 · 1 K 2026-08-04 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 0-for-4 · 2 K 2026-08-02 5 1 1 0 0 1 1 1-for-4 · 1 2B · 1 RBI · 1 R · 1 BB · 1 K 2026-07-31 4 1 0 0 0 0 1 1-for-4 · 1 K 2026-07-30 4 2 0 0 0 0 1 2-for-4 · 1 K 2026-07-29 4 1 0 0 0 1 0 1-for-3 · 1 R · 1 BB 2026-07-28 4 2 0 0 0 0 1 2-for-4 · 1 K 2026-07-28 3 1 0 0 0 1 1 1-for-2 · 1 R · 1 SB · 1 BB · 1 K 2026-07-26 5 1 0 0 0 0 3 1-for-5 · 3 K
Nearest neighbors Top 10 hitters most similar to Dane Myers across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.