≥2 career HRs vs this pitcher
+20%
4 yes / 383 no · 75 HRs
Rested (2+ days off)
−19%
19 yes / 367 no · 75 HRs
Vs. short-leash starter (avg IP < 5.0)
−19%
167 yes / 212 no · 71 HRs
Platoon advantage (LHB-vs-RHP or RHB-vs-LHP)
−18%
66 yes / 190 no · 48 HRs
Playing at home
−17%
196 yes / 191 no · 75 HRs
≥1 career HR vs this pitcher
−17%
47 yes / 340 no · 75 HRs
HR-suppressing park (factor ≤ 0.95)
−16%
232 yes / 153 no · 74 HRs
First-pitch temperature > 78°F
+14%
59 yes / 311 no · 70 HRs
Summer game (Jun-Aug)
−10%
151 yes / 236 no · 75 HRs
3rd time through order vs starter
+10%
227 yes / 160 no · 75 HRs
Vs. HR-prone pitcher (HR/PA > 3.8%)
+10%
65 yes / 322 no · 75 HRs
Vs. pull-fly-ball-prone pitcher (>18%)
−9%
236 yes / 148 no · 75 HRs
Vs. fastball-heavy pitcher (FB% ≥ 55%)
−9%
213 yes / 166 no · 73 HRs
Vs. hittable pitcher (BAA > .260)
+8%
76 yes / 311 no · 75 HRs
Hot streak (L5 avg EV > career baseline)
+8%
172 yes / 209 no · 74 HRs
Opposing starter coming off >7 days rest
−7%
53 yes / 302 no · 66 HRs
Batting 3-4-5 in the order
+7%
299 yes / 88 no · 75 HRs
≥3 career HRs vs this pitcher
neutral
1 yes / 386 no · 75 HRs
Wind blowing out (≥10 mph, outdoor)
neutral
6 yes / 364 no · 70 HRs
Vs. high-contact-quality pitcher (avg EV allowed ≥ 89 mph)
neutral
187 yes / 200 no · 75 HRs
Vs. low-whiff pitcher (whiff% < 22%)
neutral
0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs
Vs. barrel-prone pitcher (Barrel% allowed > 9%)
neutral
0 yes / 384 no · 75 HRs