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Garrett Mitchell
CF · LHB · RHP · MIL
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Home vs
PIT
Starter
Stadium
American Family Field
Model HR%
10.2%
Model Hits%
63.5%
Model K%
38.7%
Tonight's top play
Hits OVER 0.5+7.9% edgemodel 64% · grade A
Verdict
one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Garrett Mitchell, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 13-2 | 87% | +62.9% |
| A | 4-7 | 36% | -27.7% |
| B | 2-9 | 18% | +36.4% |
Combined 19-18 · n=37 · ROI +28.1% · avg CLV -0.7 pts · beat close 45%
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.1Plate Appearancesavg 4.1
Hitsavg 0.3
Singlesavg 0.2
Doublesavg 0.1
Total Basesavg 0.4
Home Runsavg 0.0
Strikeoutsavg 1.3
Walksavg 0.7
Tonight's lines
2026-08-06 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Same-game parlay
pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won'tSplits
Career n=397 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-08-04
xStats luck
xwOBA0.334
wOBA0.325
delta−0.009 due
n=397 PA
Spray chart
272 balls in play since 2025· wind 2 mph cross-windBalls in play272
HR rate2.9%
Hard-hit (95+)49%
Avg exit velo92.7 mph
Ground ball54%
Line drive26%
Fly ball17%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Garrett Mitchell across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.