Vs. fly-ball-prone pitcher (FB% allowed > 40%)
+19%
48 yes / 305 no · 71 HRs
No rest day (B2B or doubleheader)
+18%
242 yes / 114 no · 72 HRs
Summer game (Jun-Aug)
+15%
125 yes / 232 no · 72 HRs
Vs. high-xwOBA pitcher (xwOBA allowed > .340)
−15%
71 yes / 286 no · 72 HRs
Vs. short-leash starter (avg IP < 5.0)
−14%
150 yes / 200 no · 70 HRs
Batting 3-4-5 in the order
+11%
138 yes / 219 no · 72 HRs
Rested (2+ days off)
+11%
20 yes / 336 no · 72 HRs
≥2 career HRs vs this pitcher
−7%
2 yes / 355 no · 72 HRs
Vs. fastball-heavy pitcher (FB% ≥ 55%)
+6%
196 yes / 153 no · 69 HRs
Platoon advantage (LHB-vs-RHP or RHB-vs-LHP)
+6%
67 yes / 176 no · 48 HRs
First-pitch temperature > 78°F
+5%
42 yes / 298 no · 68 HRs
HR-friendly park (factor ≥ 1.10)
neutral
37 yes / 320 no · 72 HRs
Opposing starter coming off >7 days rest
neutral
48 yes / 274 no · 64 HRs
3rd time through order vs starter
neutral
177 yes / 180 no · 72 HRs
Wind blowing out (≥10 mph, outdoor)
neutral
4 yes / 336 no · 68 HRs
Vs. pull-fly-ball-prone pitcher (>18%)
neutral
216 yes / 137 no · 71 HRs
Cold month (Apr / Sep / Oct)
neutral
112 yes / 245 no · 72 HRs
Vs. high-contact-quality pitcher (avg EV allowed ≥ 89 mph)
neutral
175 yes / 182 no · 72 HRs
Vs. hittable pitcher (BAA > .260)
neutral
70 yes / 287 no · 72 HRs
Opposing starter's recent FB velo down ≥1 mph
neutral
50 yes / 253 no · 60 HRs
≥3 career HRs vs this pitcher
neutral
0 yes / 357 no · 72 HRs
Vs. barrel-prone pitcher (Barrel% allowed > 9%)
neutral
0 yes / 353 no · 71 HRs
Vs. low-whiff pitcher (whiff% < 22%)
neutral
0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs