← BACK TO SLATEHit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.5Plate Appearancesavg 3.5
Total Basesavg 0.5
Home Runsavg 0.0
Strikeoutsavg 1.5
Splits
Career n=31 PA · 2026-05-04 → 2026-08-15
| Split | H-AB | BA | SLG | ISO | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K% |
|---|
Season 2026 season | 4-31 | .129 | .161 | .032 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41.9% |
vs LHP left-handed pitching | 1-12 | .083 | .083 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33.3% |
vs RHP right-handed pitching | 3-19 | .158 | .211 | .053 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 47.4% |
Last 15 days recent form | 3-17 | .176 | .235 | .059 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41.2% |
Spray chart
207 balls in play since 2025Balls in play207
HR rate7.7%
Hard-hit (95+)31%
Avg exit velo87.6 mph
Ground ball47%
Line drive20%
Fly ball30%
What kind of arm does he crush?
top 3 pitcher traits by |lift|
Vs. high-contact-quality pitcher (avg EV allowed ≥ 89 mph)
-31.1%significant
n=215 games · 14/109 HR when active
Vs. fastball-heavy pitcher (FB% ≥ 55%)
+0.0%small sample
n=0 games · 0/0 HR when active
Vs. hittable pitcher (BAA > .260)
+0.0%small sample
n=0 games · 0/0 HR when active
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature· refreshed 2026-05-21
helping tonighthurting tonightnot in play tonight
Cold month (Apr / Sep / Oct)
+39%
57 yes / 158 no · 36 HRs
Vs. high-contact-quality pitcher (avg EV allowed ≥ 89 mph)
−31%
109 yes / 106 no · 36 HRs
// 10 more factors — small sample / no significant lift
Summer game (Jun-Aug)
−18%
103 yes / 112 no · 36 HRs
HR-friendly park (factor ≥ 1.10)
−17%
32 yes / 182 no · 36 HRs
HR-suppressing park (factor ≤ 0.95)
−17%
32 yes / 182 no · 36 HRs
Playing at home
−15%
107 yes / 108 no · 36 HRs
No rest day (B2B or doubleheader)
neutral
98 yes / 116 no · 36 HRs
Rested (2+ days off)
neutral
40 yes / 174 no · 36 HRs
Vs. fastball-heavy pitcher (FB% ≥ 55%)
neutral
0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs
Vs. hittable pitcher (BAA > .260)
neutral
0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs
Vs. high-xwOBA pitcher (xwOBA allowed > .340)
neutral
0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs
Vs. low-whiff pitcher (whiff% < 22%)
neutral
0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs
// LIFT = P(HR | factor true) ÷ P(HR | factor false), Bayesian- shrunk with K=30 pseudo-games. Significance requires |lift − 1| ≥ 0.20 AND smaller cohort n ≥ 15. Cohort = top 60 HR hitters, last 2 seasons. Refreshed weekly. Green/red = the factor's effect on tonight's HR chance; gray = not in play tonight.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
| Date | PA | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | Outcomes |
|---|
| 2026-08-15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-for-3 |
| 2026-08-12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1-for-3 · 1 K |
| 2026-08-10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1-for-3 · 1 2B · 2 K |
| 2026-08-07 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-for-4 · 2 K |
| 2026-08-05 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1-for-4 · 2 K |
| 2026-05-10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-for-3 · 1 R |
| 2026-05-09 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0-for-5 · 3 K |
| 2026-05-06 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1-for-3 · 1 K |
| 2026-05-04 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-for-3 · 2 K |
| 2025-09-06 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-for-4 · 2 K |
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Sean Murphy across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.