Xavier Edwards

2B · SHB · RHP · MIA

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Away @

ATL

Starter

Grant Holmes (RHP)

Stadium

Truist Park

Model HR%

10.3%

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Xavier Edwards, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	11-1	92%	+92.7%
A	5-3	63%	+14.4%
B	5-5	50%	+9.4%

Combined 21-9 · n=30 · ROI +44.1% · avg CLV -0.4 pts · beat close 30%

Matchup

Xavier Edwards (SHB) vs Grant Holmes RHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Grant Holmes RHP · season · 107.9 IP · 464 BF

BAA

.237

wOBA

.334

SLG

.407

ISO

.170

WHIP

1.38

HR/9

1.50

BB%

11.0%

19.6%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

3.4%

HH%

45.1%

FB%

34.1%

HR/FB%

20.0%

Xavier Edwards hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	121-429	.282	.389	.107	6	11.4%	15.4%
vs RHP	94-325	.289	.385	.095	2	12.2%	14.5%

Pitch-type matchup

Grant Holmes's arsenal × how Xavier Edwards hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Grant Holmes throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
TOPSlider	36%	85.3	40%	.381
Four-Seam	33%	94.4	14%	.433
Curveball	14%	83.3	30%	.324
Cutter	12%	92.1	13%	.339
Changeup	3%	89.7	18%	.341
Sinker	2%	93.5	0%	.294

Xavier Edwards vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
TOPSlider	282	13%	.365	86.2
Four-Seam	1245	9%	.331	86.5
Curveball	216	17%	.307	82.5
Cutter	217	3%	.375	87.2
Changeup	443	22%	.289	79.0
Sinker	480	3%	.300	88.1

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

80%8/10 · L10 · avg 1.0

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.2

Plate Appearancesavg 4.2

Hitsavg 1.0

Singlesavg 0.9

Doublesavg 0.1

Total Basesavg 1.1

Home Runsavg 0.0

Strikeoutsavg 0.6

Walksavg 0.3

Tonight's lines

2026-08-04 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	UNDER	PASS	90%	—	—	—	Sign in to save	Sign in

Splits

Career n=484 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-08-01

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	121-429	.282	.389	.107	16	6	6	55	15.4%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	27-104	.260	.404	.144	3	0	4	10	18.3%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	94-325	.289	.385	.095	13	6	2	45	14.5%
Last 15 days recent form	9-46	.196	.217	.022	1	0	0	5	26.1%
vs Grant Holmes tonight's starting pitcher	1-8	.125	.125	.000	0	0	0	2	37.5%
vs ATL tonight's opponent (full roster)	23-70	.329	.414	.086	1	1	1	6	10.0%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.302

wOBA0.319

delta+0.017 hot

n=484 PA

Spray chart

856 balls in play since 2025· wind 3 mph blowing out

Balls in play856

HR rate1.1%

Hard-hit (95+)28%

Avg exit velo84.5 mph

Ground ball48%

Line drive27%

Fly ball21%

// PLAYER DNA

No statistically significant HR signature found at current sample size. We won't fabricate a pattern — most hitters need at least a half-season of data before factor lifts stabilize.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-08-02	4	1	0	0	0	1-for-4 · 1 RBI
2026-08-01	5	0	0	0	0	0-for-5
2026-07-31	4	1	0	0	1	1-for-4 · 1 RBI · 1 K
2026-07-30	4	1	0	0	1	1-for-4 · 1 K
2026-07-29	4	1	0	1	0	1-for-3 · 2 RBI · 1 SB · 1 BB
2026-07-28	4	1	0	2	0	1-for-2 · 1 SB · 2 BB
2026-07-27	5	2	0	0	1	2-for-5 · 1 K
2026-07-26	4	1	0	0	1	1-for-4 · 1 SB · 1 K
2026-07-25	4	0	0	0	0	0-for-4
2026-07-24	4	2	1	0	2	2-for-4 · 1 2B · 1 SB · 2 K

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Xavier Edwards across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.