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Hits OVER 0.5 +11.9% edge model 65% · grade S
Verdict one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality? Prop Pick Model Edge L10 Verdict Hits OVER 0.5 65% +11.9% 70% STRONG Home Runs OVER 0.5 10% +1.7% 0% CAUTION
Our track record settled S/A/B picks on Taylor Walls, by confidence tier Tier Record Hit rate ROI S 4-5 44% -15.1% A 1-1 50% -43.3% B 0-3 0% -100.0%
Combined 5-9 · n=14 · ROI -37.3% · avg CLV -4.3 pts · beat close 33%
Matchup Taylor Walls (SHB) vs Michael Wacha RHP favors batter favors pitcher Michael Wacha RHP · season · 97.9 IP · 421 BF
Taylor Walls hitting
Split H-AB BA SLG ISO HR BB% K% Season 37-179 .207 .268 .061 0 13.1% 27.9% vs RHP 24-108 .222 .306 .083 0 13.6% 33.3%
Pitch-type matchup Michael Wacha's arsenal × how Taylor Walls hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot Michael Wacha throws
Pitch Usage Velo Whiff xwOBA Four-Seam 28% 93.0 16% .389 Changeup 24% 80.0 28% .297 Cutter 15% 88.4 15% .372 Sinker 14% 93.1 11% .396 Slider 11% 84.8 28% .372 Curveball 8% 75.4 31% .344
Taylor Walls vs each
Pitch Seen Whiff xwOBA EV Four-Seam 713 17% .259 87.3 Changeup 218 25% .274 79.6 Cutter 190 17% .339 85.8 Sinker 261 11% .270 82.2 Slider 197 19% .327 72.9 Curveball 120 12% .264 78.6
xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under Hits70% Total Bases30% Home Runs0% Singles50% Doubles20% Triples0% Strikeouts50% Walks40% RBIs40% Runs Scored40% Hits + Runs + RBIs100% Stolen Bases40%
70% 7/10 · L10 · avg 0.8
Our model 65% OVER +11.9% edge S
0 vBOS 06-08 2 vBOS 06-10 1 @LAA 06-12 1 @LAA 06-13 0 @LAD 06-15 1 @LAD 06-16 0 @LAD 06-17 1 vWSN 06-19 1 vWSN 06-20 1 vWSN 06-21
L5 80% 4/5 L10 70% 7/10 L20 55% 11/20 2026 56% 35/63 2025 54% 52/96
Recent form per-game over the last 10 Avg PA 3.7 Plate Appearances avg 3.7
4 4 4 3 4 3 4 3 4 4 Total Bases avg 1.0
0 2 1 1 0 1 0 1 2 2 Home Runs avg 0.0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Strikeouts avg 0.8
1 0 0 0 3 1 0 0 1 2
Tonight's lines 2026-06-22 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled) Doubles + Triples
Line Side Grade Model Edge Odds Move Track 0.5 — A 8% — +400 +4.3 —
Hits
Line Side Grade Model Edge Odds Move Track BEST 0.5OVER S 65% +11.9% -115 +3.2 Sign in 1.5 OVER S 24% +8.8% +500 +0.0 Sign in 2.5 OVER PASS 5% +1.3% +3000 +0.0 Sign in
Home Runs
Line Side Grade Model Edge Odds Move Track BEST 0.5OVER PASS 10% +1.7% +1100 +0.0 Sign in
RBIs
Line Side Grade Model Edge Odds Move Track 0.5 — S 6% — +260 +2.8 — 1.5 — PASS 4% — +1000 +0.0 —
Singles
Line Side Grade Model Edge Odds Move Track 0.5 — S 51% — +155 +0.8 — 1.5 — B 13% — +1000 +0.0 —
Total Bases
Line Side Grade Model Edge Odds Move Track 1.5 — S 37% — +250 +0.0 —
Same-game parlay pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won't -115 +500 +3000 +1100
Price legs
Splits Career n=206 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-06-20
Split H-AB BA SLG ISO 2B 3B HR BB K% Season
2026 season
37-179 .207 .268 .061 7 2 0 27 27.9% vs LHP
left-handed pitching
13-71 .183 .211 .028 2 0 0 10 19.7% vs RHP
right-handed pitching
24-108 .222 .306 .083 5 2 0 17 33.3% Last 15 days
recent form
7-30 .233 .267 .033 1 0 0 6 23.3% @ Tropicana Field
tonight's stadium
379-1327 .286 .384 .098 130 0 0 406 20.8%
xStats luck
xwOBA 0.240
wOBA 0.262
delta +0.022 hot
n=205 PA
Spray chart 364 balls in play since 2025 All vLHP vRHP
Match Michael Wacha's mix Balls in play 364
HR rate 1.4%
Hard-hit (95+) 20%
Avg exit velo 82.3 mph
Ground ball 40%
Line drive 21%
Fly ball 32%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Date PA H 2B 3B HR BB K Outcomes 2026-06-21 4 1 1 0 0 0 2 1-for-4 · 1 2B · 1 R · 2 K 2026-06-20 4 1 1 0 0 2 1 1-for-2 · 1 2B · 1 R · 2 SB · 2 BB · 1 K 2026-06-19 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 1-for-3 · 1 RBI 2026-06-17 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0-for-4 · 1 RBI 2026-06-16 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 1-for-3 · 1 K 2026-06-15 4 0 0 0 0 0 3 0-for-4 · 1 RBI · 3 K 2026-06-13 3 1 0 0 0 1 0 1-for-2 · 1 BB 2026-06-12 4 1 0 0 0 1 0 1-for-3 · 1 SB · 1 BB 2026-06-10 4 2 0 0 0 0 0 2-for-4 · 1 RBI · 1 R · 1 SB 2026-06-08 4 0 0 0 0 1 1 0-for-3 · 1 R · 1 SB · 1 BB · 1 K
Nearest neighbors Top 10 hitters most similar to Taylor Walls across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.
