Lawrence Butler

RF · LHB · RHP · OAK

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Away @

CLE

Starter

Gavin Williams (RHP)

Stadium

Progressive Field

Model HR%

17.1%

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Lawrence Butler, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	15-5	75%	+61.1%
A	4-1	80%	+100.1%
B	4-5	44%	+144.3%

Combined 23-11 · n=34 · ROI +88.9% · avg CLV -4.8 pts · beat close 33%

Matchup

Lawrence Butler (LHB) vs Gavin Williams RHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Gavin Williams RHP · season · 173.7 IP · 747 BF

BAA

.217

wOBA

.293

SLG

.385

ISO

.168

WHIP

1.22

HR/9

1.50

BB%

8.6%

32.8%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

2.4%

HH%

46.1%

FB%

30.7%

HR/FB%

25.2%

Lawrence Butler hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	105-458	.229	.389	.159	18	11.8%	30.3%
vs RHP	78-329	.237	.410	.173	14	12.3%	30.4%

Pitch-type matchup

Gavin Williams's arsenal × how Lawrence Butler hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Gavin Williams throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
TOPFour-Seam	35%	96.6	21%	.432
Sweeper	22%	86.6	45%	.395
TOPCurveball	22%	82.1	31%	.338
Cutter	12%	91.7	18%	.349
Sinker	9%	95.9	9%	.392
Changeup	0%	88.2	0%	—

Lawrence Butler vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
TOPFour-Seam	1079	25%	.396	92.5
Sweeper	190	49%	.297	83.7
TOPCurveball	189	41%	.487	96.0
Cutter	226	18%	.310	87.6
Sinker	421	16%	.403	91.8
Changeup	494	38%	.330	85.5

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

50%5/10 · L10 · avg 0.9

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.3

Plate Appearancesavg 4.3

Hitsavg 0.9

Singlesavg 0.4

Doublesavg 0.1

Total Basesavg 2.2

Home Runsavg 0.4

Strikeoutsavg 0.9

Walksavg 0.4

Tonight's lines

2026-09-20 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	UNDER	PASS	83%	—	—	—	Sign in to save	Sign in

Splits

Career n=519 PA · 2026-03-17 → 2026-09-18

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	105-458	.229	.389	.159	17	1	18	61	30.3%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	27-129	.209	.333	.124	2	1	4	15	30.2%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	78-329	.237	.410	.173	15	0	14	46	30.4%
Last 15 days recent form	9-45	.200	.556	.356	1	0	5	4	31.1%
vs Gavin Williams tonight's starting pitcher	1-5	.200	.400	.200	1	0	0	0	60.0%
vs CLE tonight's opponent (full roster)	9-40	.225	.325	.100	1	0	1	6	32.5%
@ Progressive Field tonight's stadium	0-292	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0	292	50.0%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.310

wOBA0.305

delta−0.005 due

n=514 PA

Spray chart

720 balls in play since 2025· wind 2 mph blowing in

Balls in play720

HR rate5.3%

Hard-hit (95+)45%

Avg exit velo90.1 mph

Ground ball49%

Line drive24%

Fly ball22%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	HR	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-09-19	5	1	0	0	1	0	1-for-4 · 2 R · 1 BB
2026-09-18	4	0	0	0	2	1	0-for-2 · 1 R · 2 BB · 1 K
2026-09-17	4	2	0	1	0	1	2-for-4 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 1 R · 1 K
2026-09-16	4	1	0	0	0	2	1-for-4 · 2 K
2026-09-15	4	0	0	0	0	2	0-for-4 · 2 K
2026-09-13	5	2	0	2	0	1	2-for-5 · 2 HR · 4 RBI · 2 R · 1 K
2026-09-12	4	0	0	0	1	1	0-for-3 · 1 BB · 1 K
2026-09-11	5	3	1	1	0	0	3-for-5 · 1 HR · 2 RBI · 1 R
2026-09-09	4	0	0	0	0	0	0-for-4
2026-09-08	4	0	0	0	0	1	0-for-4 · 1 K

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Lawrence Butler across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.