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Curtis Mead
3B · RHB · RHP · BOS
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Curtis Mead, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 8-1 | 89% | +111.6% |
| A | 3-1 | 75% | +47.2% |
| B | 3-4 | 43% | +56.3% |
Combined 14-6 · n=20 · ROI +79.4% · avg CLV +4.0 pts · beat close 42%
Matchup
Curtis Mead (RHB) vs Luis Castillo RHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Luis Castillo's arsenal × how Curtis Mead hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.9Plate Appearancesavg 3.9
Hitsavg 1.1
Singlesavg 0.5
Doublesavg 0.4
Total Basesavg 2.1
Home Runsavg 0.2
Strikeoutsavg 0.8
Walksavg 0.7
Tonight's lines
2026-08-06 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Splits
Career n=346 PA · 2026-03-16 → 2026-07-27
xStats luck
xwOBA0.320
wOBA0.335
delta+0.015 hot
n=343 PA
Spray chart
417 balls in play since 2025· wind 7 mph blowing outBalls in play417
HR rate5.0%
Hard-hit (95+)40%
Avg exit velo87.1 mph
Ground ball38%
Line drive23%
Fly ball30%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Curtis Mead across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.