Ceddanne Rafaela

CF · RHB · RHP · BOS

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Away @

COL

Starter

Ryan Feltner (RHP)

Stadium

Coors Field

Model HR%

13.5%

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Ceddanne Rafaela, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	0-3	0%	-100.0%
A	3-6	33%	-52.5%
B	0-2	0%	-100.0%

Combined 3-11 · n=14 · ROI -69.5% · avg CLV -0.2 pts · beat close 29%

Matchup

Ceddanne Rafaela (RHB) vs Ryan Feltner RHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Ryan Feltner RHP · season · 48.6 IP · 209 BF

BAA

.235

wOBA

.388

SLG

.422

ISO

.187

WHIP

1.36

HR/9

1.30

BB%

10.5%

18.2%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

5.8%

HH%

46.2%

FB%

30.8%

HR/FB%

21.9%

Ceddanne Rafaela hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	81-275	.295	.465	.171	8	7.7%	22.5%
vs RHP	60-211	.284	.427	.142	6	7.0%	19.4%

Pitch-type matchup

Ryan Feltner's arsenal × how Ceddanne Rafaela hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Ryan Feltner throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
TOPFour-Seam	30%	94.1	13%	.439
TOPSlider	19%	88.7	23%	.318
TOPChangeup	17%	85.2	46%	.274
Sinker	14%	93.9	8%	.326
TOPSweeper	13%	82.7	38%	.282
Curveball	7%	79.3	22%	.503

Ceddanne Rafaela vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
TOPFour-Seam	887	19%	.401	91.8
TOPSlider	488	28%	.362	89.0
TOPChangeup	318	33%	.357	87.5
Sinker	541	14%	.318	84.5
TOPSweeper	219	24%	.363	86.1
Curveball	187	37%	.321	84.2

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

80%8/10 · L10 · avg 1.2

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.3

Plate Appearancesavg 4.3

Hitsavg 1.2

Singlesavg 0.5

Doublesavg 0.5

Total Basesavg 2.3

Home Runsavg 0.2

Strikeoutsavg 0.9

Walksavg 0.0

Tonight's lines

2026-06-22 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Track
0.5	UNDER	PASS	87%	—	—	—	Sign in

Splits

Career n=298 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-06-19

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	81-275	.295	.465	.171	17	3	8	23	22.5%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	21-64	.328	.594	.266	5	3	2	7	32.8%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	60-211	.284	.427	.142	12	0	6	16	19.4%
Last 15 days recent form	14-47	.298	.532	.234	5	0	2	0	21.3%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.280

wOBA0.325

delta+0.045 hot

n=298 PA

Spray chart

664 balls in play since 2025· wind 6 mph cross-wind

Balls in play664

HR rate3.8%

Hard-hit (95+)38%

Avg exit velo86.7 mph

Ground ball43%

Line drive24%

Fly ball26%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	HR	K	Outcomes
2026-06-21	4	1	0	0	0	1-for-4 · 1 SB
2026-06-19	4	1	1	0	2	1-for-4 · 1 2B · 1 R · 2 K
2026-06-18	4	1	1	0	0	1-for-4 · 1 2B · 1 R
2026-06-17	5	1	0	0	1	1-for-5 · 1 K
2026-06-16	5	2	1	0	1	2-for-5 · 1 2B · 1 K
2026-06-14	4	0	0	0	1	0-for-4 · 1 K
2026-06-13	4	2	0	0	1	2-for-4 · 2 RBI · 1 K
2026-06-12	5	3	2	1	0	3-for-5 · 1 HR · 3 RBI · 3 R · 1 SB
2026-06-10	4	1	0	1	3	1-for-4 · 1 HR · 3 RBI · 1 R · 3 K
2026-06-09	4	0	0	0	0	0-for-4

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Ceddanne Rafaela across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.