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Henry Davis
C · RHB · RHP · PIT
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Tonight's top play
Hits OVER 0.5+24.6% edgemodel 70% · grade S
Why: strong vs the Four-Seam (58% usage, .341 xwOBA).
Verdict
one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Henry Davis, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 3-10 | 23% | -54.4% |
| A | 4-3 | 57% | -1.5% |
| B | 2-4 | 33% | -62.2% |
Combined 9-17 · n=26 · ROI -42.0% · avg CLV -0.6 pts · beat close 40%
Matchup
Henry Davis (RHB) vs Kyle Harrison LHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Kyle Harrison's arsenal × how Henry Davis hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.4Plate Appearancesavg 3.4
Hitsavg 0.6
Singlesavg 0.6
Doublesavg 0.0
Total Basesavg 0.6
Home Runsavg 0.0
Strikeoutsavg 0.7
Walksavg 0.3
Tonight's lines
2026-08-05 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Same-game parlay
pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won'tSplits
Career n=241 PA · 2026-03-16 → 2026-08-03
xStats luck
xwOBA0.271
wOBA0.252
delta−0.019 due
n=240 PA
Spray chart
351 balls in play since 2025Balls in play351
HR rate4.8%
Hard-hit (95+)42%
Avg exit velo88.3 mph
Ground ball35%
Line drive21%
Fly ball28%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Henry Davis across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.