Colton Cowser

CF · LHB · RHP · BAL

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Home vs

MIL

Starter

Jacob Misiorowski (RHP)

Stadium

Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Model HR%

14.5%

Model Hits%

59.1%

Model K%

56.7%

Tonight's top play

Hits OVER 0.5+21.0% edgemodel 59% · grade S

Why: strong vs the Four-Seam (57% usage, .455 xwOBA).

Verdict

one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?

Prop	Pick	Model	Edge	L10	Verdict
Hits	OVER 0.5	59%	+21.0%	60%	STRONG
Home Runs	OVER 0.5	14%	+7.0%	0%	CAUTION

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Colton Cowser, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	21-15	58%	+45.8%
A	2-7	22%	+136.9%
B	4-12	25%	-51.2%

Combined 27-34 · n=61 · ROI +33.8% · avg CLV +0.3 pts · beat close 42%

Matchup

Colton Cowser (LHB) vs Jacob Misiorowski RHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Jacob Misiorowski RHP · season · 153.0 IP · 658 BF

BAA

.161

wOBA

.221

SLG

.253

ISO

.093

WHIP

0.99

HR/9

0.82

BB%

8.2%

37.4%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

1.0%

HH%

33.8%

FB%

34.4%

HR/FB%

13.0%

Colton Cowser hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	73-346	.211	.355	.145	14	12.2%	35.5%
vs RHP	65-285	.228	.382	.154	12	12.6%	31.9%

Pitch-type matchup

Jacob Misiorowski's arsenal × how Colton Cowser hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Jacob Misiorowski throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
TOPFour-Seam	57%	99.6	34%	.410
TOPSlider	25%	94.3	22%	.288
Curveball	14%	87.3	34%	.367
Changeup	4%	92.4	33%	.224

Colton Cowser vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
TOPFour-Seam	592	19%	.455	94.6
TOPSlider	237	42%	.466	86.3
Curveball	160	55%	.310	85.1
Changeup	336	46%	.328	82.0

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

60%6/10 · L10 · avg 0.8

Our model59% OVER+21.0% edgeS

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.2

Plate Appearancesavg 3.2

Hitsavg 0.8

Singlesavg 0.6

Doublesavg 0.2

Total Basesavg 1.0

Home Runsavg 0.0

Strikeoutsavg 1.3

Walksavg 0.4

Tonight's lines

2026-09-20 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Doubles + Triples

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	B	6%	—	+850	+0.0	Sign in to save	—

Hits

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	S	59%	+21.0%	+163	+0.6	Sign in to save	Sign in

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	A	14%	+7.0%	+1243	-0.1	Sign in to save	Sign in

RBIs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	A	9%	—	+531	-0.4	Sign in to save	—

Singles

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	S	43%	—	+233	+0.0	Sign in to save	—

Strikeouts

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
1.5	—	A	57%	—	-137	+0.0	Sign in to save	—

Total Bases

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
1.5	—	S	29%	—	+350	+0.0	Sign in to save	—

Same-game parlay

pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won't

Splits

Career n=394 PA · 2026-03-17 → 2026-09-18

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	73-346	.211	.355	.145	8	14	48	35.5%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	8-61	.131	.230	.098	0	2	7	52.5%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	65-285	.228	.382	.154	8	12	41	31.9%
Last 15 days recent form	8-28	.286	.357	.071	2	0	4	46.4%
vs MIL tonight's opponent (full roster)	4-12	.333	.333	.000	0	0	0	41.7%
@ Oriole Park at Camden Yards tonight's stadium	2016-11946	.169	.300	.131	363	400	1787	41.6%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.306

wOBA0.296

delta−0.010 due

n=393 PA

Spray chart

430 balls in play since 2025· wind 11 mph cross-wind

Balls in play430

HR rate7.2%

Hard-hit (95+)41%

Avg exit velo88.2 mph

Ground ball43%

Line drive21%

Fly ball32%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-09-18	3	2	0	0	1	2-for-3 · 1 K
2026-09-16	4	1	0	1	1	1-for-3 · 1 SB · 1 BB · 1 K
2026-09-15	4	0	0	0	1	0-for-4 · 1 K
2026-09-14	4	2	0	0	1	2-for-4 · 1 K
2026-09-13	2	0	0	0	2	0-for-2 · 2 K
2026-09-12	2	1	0	0	1	1-for-2 · 1 K
2026-09-11	4	1	1	1	2	1-for-3 · 1 2B · 2 RBI · 1 R · 1 SB · 1 BB · 2 K
2026-09-08	4	0	0	1	2	0-for-3 · 1 BB · 2 K
2026-09-06	3	0	0	0	2	0-for-3 · 2 K
2026-09-05	2	1	1	1	0	1-for-1 · 1 2B · 1 BB

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Colton Cowser across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.