Andy Pages

CF · RHB · RHP · LAD

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Away @

MIN

Starter

Zebby Matthews (RHP)

Stadium

Target Field

Model HR%

19.6%

Model Hits%

28.9%

Tonight's top play

Hits UNDER 1.5+2.9% edgemodel 71% · grade PASS

Verdict

one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?

Prop	Pick	Model	Edge	L10	Verdict
Hits	UNDER 1.5	71%	+2.9%	80%	LEAN
Home Runs	OVER 0.5	20%	+2.2%	0%	CAUTION

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Andy Pages, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	—	—	—
A	4-1	80%	+162.0%
B	1-2	33%	-49.3%

Combined 5-3 · n=8 · ROI +82.8% · avg CLV +8.1 pts · beat close 67%

Matchup

Andy Pages (RHB) vs Zebby Matthews RHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Zebby Matthews RHP · season · 46.5 IP · 200 BF

BAA

.243

wOBA

.305

SLG

.418

ISO

.175

WHIP

1.23

HR/9

1.55

BB%

5.5%

17.5%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

4.8%

HH%

39.3%

FB%

41.4%

HR/FB%

13.3%

Andy Pages hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	83-320	.259	.459	.200	15	7.2%	20.3%
vs RHP	66-239	.276	.477	.201	12	7.0%	19.2%

Pitch-type matchup

Zebby Matthews's arsenal × how Andy Pages hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Zebby Matthews throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
TOPFour-Seam	41%	96.1	19%	.470
Slider	24%	87.9	36%	.361
Cutter	12%	91.5	22%	.386
Changeup	10%	87.1	21%	.352
Curveball	7%	81.4	27%	.365
Sinker	4%	95.6	7%	.290
Splitter	0%	83.5	—	—

Andy Pages vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
TOPFour-Seam	1113	17%	.411	91.1
Slider	601	22%	.326	86.8
Cutter	278	18%	.321	86.8
Changeup	252	26%	.381	88.6
Curveball	195	26%	.483	86.2
Sinker	700	13%	.359	90.0
Splitter	82	29%	.465	89.6

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

60%6/10 · L10 · avg 0.8

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.6

Plate Appearancesavg 4.6

Hitsavg 0.8

Singlesavg 0.5

Doublesavg 0.3

Total Basesavg 1.1

Home Runsavg 0.0

Strikeoutsavg 1.2

Walksavg 0.4

Tonight's lines

2026-06-22 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Hits

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Track
BEST1.5	UNDER	PASS	71%	+2.9%	-265	—	Sign in

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	PASS	20%	+2.2%	+425	—	Sign in

Total Bases

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Track
1.5	—	PASS	46%	—	+105	—	—

Same-game parlay

pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won't

Splits

Career n=345 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-06-20

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	83-320	.259	.459	.200	17	1	15	25	20.3%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	17-81	.210	.407	.198	7	0	3	7	23.5%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	66-239	.276	.477	.201	10	1	12	18	19.2%
Last 15 days recent form	9-49	.184	.286	.102	2	0	1	4	22.4%
vs MIN tonight's opponent (full roster)	2-6	.333	.333	.000	0	0	0	1	16.7%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.296

wOBA0.302

delta+0.006 hot

n=344 PA

Spray chart

753 balls in play since 2025· wind 5 mph cross-wind

Balls in play753

HR rate5.4%

Hard-hit (95+)41%

Avg exit velo88.9 mph

Ground ball37%

Line drive26%

Fly ball30%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-06-21	4	1	1	1	2	1-for-3 · 1 2B · 1 BB · 2 K
2026-06-20	4	0	0	1	0	0-for-3 · 1 BB
2026-06-19	5	1	1	0	1	1-for-5 · 1 2B · 1 RBI · 1 K
2026-06-17	5	2	1	1	1	2-for-4 · 1 2B · 1 R · 1 BB · 1 K
2026-06-16	4	1	0	0	0	1-for-4
2026-06-15	4	0	0	0	1	0-for-4 · 1 K
2026-06-14	5	0	0	0	1	0-for-5 · 1 K
2026-06-13	5	1	0	1	2	1-for-4 · 1 BB · 2 K
2026-06-12	4	0	0	0	3	0-for-4 · 3 K
2026-06-11	6	2	0	0	1	2-for-6 · 2 R · 1 K

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Andy Pages across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.