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Vinnie Pasquantino
1B · LHB · LHP · KCR
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Matchup
Vinnie Pasquantino (LHB) vs Bailey Ober RHPfavors batterfavors pitcherHit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.1Plate Appearancesavg 4.1
Hitsavg 1.1
Singlesavg 1.0
Doublesavg 0.1
Total Basesavg 1.2
Home Runsavg 0.0
Strikeoutsavg 0.9
Walksavg 0.4
Tonight's lines
2026-08-06 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Splits
Career n=352 PA · 2026-03-19 → 2026-07-28
xStats luck
xwOBA0.319
wOBA0.318
delta−0.001 due
n=347 PA
Spray chart
779 balls in play since 2025Balls in play779
HR rate5.0%
Hard-hit (95+)43%
Avg exit velo90.5 mph
Ground ball37%
Line drive25%
Fly ball28%
What kind of arm does he crush?
top 3 pitcher traits by |lift|
+26.8%significant
n=253 games · 23/127 HR when active
+0.0%small sample
n=0 games · 0/0 HR when active
+0.0%small sample
n=0 games · 0/0 HR when active
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature· refreshed 2026-05-21
// TONIGHT
1 / 2HELPING · IN PLAY
Mixed signals tonight
// IN PLAY TONIGHT
- +50% HR rate when summer game (jun-aug).
- −22% HR rate when rested (2+ days off).
helping tonighthurting tonightnot in play tonight
No rest day (B2B or doubleheader)
1.89× HR rate
192 yes / 60 no · 40 HRs
Summer game (Jun-Aug)tonight
1.50× HR rate
83 yes / 170 no · 40 HRs
Vs. high-contact-quality pitcher (avg EV allowed ≥ 89 mph)
+27%
127 yes / 126 no · 40 HRs
Rested (2+ days off)tonight
−22%
15 yes / 237 no · 40 HRs
// 8 more factors — small sample / no significant lift
HR-friendly park (factor ≥ 1.10)
−17%
27 yes / 225 no · 40 HRs
Playing at home
−9%
128 yes / 125 no · 40 HRs
HR-suppressing park (factor ≤ 0.95)
−8%
29 yes / 223 no · 40 HRs
Cold month (Apr / Sep / Oct)
neutral
79 yes / 174 no · 40 HRs
Vs. fastball-heavy pitcher (FB% ≥ 55%)
neutral
0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs
Vs. hittable pitcher (BAA > .260)
neutral
0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs
Vs. high-xwOBA pitcher (xwOBA allowed > .340)
neutral
0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs
Vs. low-whiff pitcher (whiff% < 22%)
neutral
0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs
// LIFT = P(HR | factor true) ÷ P(HR | factor false), Bayesian- shrunk with K=30 pseudo-games. Significance requires |lift − 1| ≥ 0.20 AND smaller cohort n ≥ 15. Cohort = top 60 HR hitters, last 2 seasons. Refreshed weekly. Green/red = the factor's effect on tonight's HR chance; gray = not in play tonight.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Vinnie Pasquantino across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.