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Nick Sogard
2B · SHB · RHP · BOS
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Tonight's top play
Hits OVER 0.5+5.1% edgemodel 62% · grade A
Why: strong vs the Four-Seam (19% usage, .371 xwOBA).
Verdict
one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Nick Sogard, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 10-5 | 67% | +73.0% |
| A | 3-3 | 50% | -23.5% |
| B | 2-5 | 29% | -56.3% |
Combined 15-13 · n=28 · ROI +20.0% · avg CLV -2.4 pts · beat close 44%
Matchup
Nick Sogard (SHB) vs Griffin Jax RHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Griffin Jax's arsenal × how Nick Sogard hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.9Plate Appearancesavg 3.9
Hitsavg 0.8
Singlesavg 0.5
Doublesavg 0.2
Total Basesavg 1.3
Home Runsavg 0.1
Strikeoutsavg 1.0
Walksavg 0.1
Tonight's lines
2026-09-20 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Same-game parlay
pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won'tSplits
Career n=252 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-09-18
xStats luck
xwOBA0.293
wOBA0.315
delta+0.022 hot
n=251 PA
Spray chart
256 balls in play since 2025Balls in play256
HR rate2.0%
Hard-hit (95+)29%
Avg exit velo83.6 mph
Ground ball40%
Line drive27%
Fly ball25%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Nick Sogard across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.