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Zach Neto
SS · RHB · RHP · LAA
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Zach Neto, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | — | — | — |
| A | — | — | — |
| B | 1-0 | 100% | +20.0% |
Combined 1-0 · n=1 · ROI +20.0% · avg CLV +0.0 pts · beat close 0%
Matchup
Zach Neto (RHB) vs Kyle Bradish RHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Kyle Bradish's arsenal × how Zach Neto hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.7Plate Appearancesavg 4.7
Hitsavg 0.9
Singlesavg 0.3
Doublesavg 0.1
Total Basesavg 2.4
Home Runsavg 0.4
Strikeoutsavg 2.0
Walksavg 0.3
Tonight's lines
2026-06-22 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Splits
Career n=362 PA · 2026-03-17 → 2026-06-20
xStats luck
xwOBA0.324
wOBA0.340
delta+0.016 hot
n=361 PA
Spray chart
552 balls in play since 2025Balls in play552
HR rate7.6%
Hard-hit (95+)42%
Avg exit velo89.6 mph
Ground ball34%
Line drive24%
Fly ball34%
What kind of arm does he crush?
top 3 pitcher traits by |lift|
-1.2%small sample
n=255 games · 18/125 HR when active
+0.0%small sample
n=0 games · 0/0 HR when active
+0.0%small sample
n=0 games · 0/0 HR when active
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature· refreshed 2026-05-21
// TONIGHT
3 / 3FAVORABLE
Mostly favorable
// TREND TRIGGERS · TONIGHT
- +46% HR rate when no rest day (b2b or doubleheader).
- +30% HR rate when summer game (jun-aug).
- -21% HR rate when cold month (apr / sep / oct).
No rest day (B2B or doubleheader)
+46%
201 yes / 55 no · 38 HRs
Summer game (Jun-Aug)
+30%
101 yes / 156 no · 38 HRs
Cold month (Apr / Sep / Oct)
−21%
54 yes / 203 no · 38 HRs
// 9 more factors — small sample / no significant lift
Rested (2+ days off)
0.65× HR rate
14 yes / 242 no · 38 HRs
Playing at home
−17%
143 yes / 114 no · 38 HRs
HR-friendly park (factor ≥ 1.10)
+15%
27 yes / 230 no · 38 HRs
HR-suppressing park (factor ≤ 0.95)
+15%
27 yes / 230 no · 38 HRs
Vs. high-contact-quality pitcher (avg EV allowed ≥ 89 mph)
neutral
125 yes / 130 no · 37 HRs
Vs. low-whiff pitcher (whiff% < 22%)
neutral
0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs
Vs. hittable pitcher (BAA > .260)
neutral
0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs
Vs. fastball-heavy pitcher (FB% ≥ 55%)
neutral
0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs
Vs. high-xwOBA pitcher (xwOBA allowed > .340)
neutral
0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs
// LIFT = P(HR | factor true) ÷ P(HR | factor false), Bayesian- shrunk with K=30 pseudo-games. Significance requires |lift − 1| ≥ 0.20 AND smaller cohort n ≥ 15. Cohort = top 60 HR hitters, last 2 seasons. Refreshed weekly.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Zach Neto across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.