Joey Ortiz

SS · RHB · RHP · MIL

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Home vs

PIT

Starter

Braxton Ashcraft (RHP)

Stadium

American Family Field

Model HR%

6.6%

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Joey Ortiz, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	8-5	62%	+8.5%
A	2-3	40%	+33.1%
B	2-4	33%	+50.0%

Combined 12-12 · n=24 · ROI +24.0% · avg CLV -6.7 pts · beat close 36%

Matchup

Joey Ortiz (RHB) vs Braxton Ashcraft RHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Braxton Ashcraft RHP · season · 132.3 IP · 569 BF

BAA

.238

wOBA

.294

SLG

.393

ISO

.155

WHIP

1.25

HR/9

1.29

BB%

7.0%

26.9%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

2.5%

HH%

41.6%

FB%

32.7%

HR/FB%

17.8%

Joey Ortiz hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	65-272	.239	.346	.107	5	9.6%	19.9%
vs RHP	43-181	.238	.359	.122	4	10.0%	19.3%

Pitch-type matchup

Braxton Ashcraft's arsenal × how Joey Ortiz hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Braxton Ashcraft throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
Four-Seam	30%	96.9	15%	.360
Slider	27%	92.0	31%	.320
Curveball	23%	84.7	37%	.348
Sinker	16%	96.6	17%	.326
Splitter	2%	91.3	5%	.219
Changeup	2%	91.6	6%	.378

Joey Ortiz vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
Four-Seam	801	16%	.314	87.6
Slider	430	21%	.300	83.6
Curveball	123	20%	.304	77.5
Sinker	537	8%	.287	84.8
Splitter	66	17%	.172	83.8
Changeup	154	27%	.255	78.8

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

50%5/10 · L10 · avg 1.0

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.6

Plate Appearancesavg 3.6

Hitsavg 1.0

Singlesavg 0.5

Doublesavg 0.2

Total Basesavg 1.9

Home Runsavg 0.1

Strikeoutsavg 0.8

Walksavg 0.4

Tonight's lines

2026-08-06 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	UNDER	PASS	93%	—	—	—	Sign in to save	Sign in

Splits

Career n=301 PA · 2026-03-16 → 2026-08-03

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	65-272	.239	.346	.107	10	2	5	29	19.9%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	22-91	.242	.319	.077	2	1	1	9	20.9%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	43-181	.238	.359	.122	8	1	4	20	19.3%
Last 15 days recent form	8-22	.364	.636	.273	2	2	0	1	18.2%
vs PIT tonight's opponent (full roster)	21-69	.304	.391	.087	4	1	0	7	7.2%
@ American Family Field tonight's stadium	3280-9593	.342	.642	.301	619	391	494	1083	23.7%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.275

wOBA0.277

delta+0.002 hot

n=301 PA

Spray chart

648 balls in play since 2025· wind 2 mph cross-wind

Balls in play648

HR rate1.9%

Hard-hit (95+)35%

Avg exit velo84.9 mph

Ground ball48%

Line drive22%

Fly ball20%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-08-03	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	3-for-4 · 1 RBI
2026-08-01	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-for-4 · 1 K
2026-07-27	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-for-3
2026-07-26	4	2	1	1	0	0	1	2-for-4 · 1 3B · 1 K
2026-07-24	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-for-4 · 2 K
2026-07-22	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	3-for-3 · 1 3B · 2 RBI · 2 R · 1 SB · 1 BB
2026-07-21	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	1-for-2
2026-07-20	4	1	0	0	1	0	2	1-for-4 · 1 HR · 3 RBI · 1 R · 2 K
2026-07-19	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-for-2 · 1 BB · 1 K
2026-07-18	4	0	0	0	0	2	1	0-for-2 · 1 R · 1 SB · 2 BB · 1 K

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Joey Ortiz across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.