Dylan Beavers

RF · LHB · BAL

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Home vs

PHI

Starter

Zack Wheeler (RHP)

Stadium

Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Model HR%

10.3%

Model Hits%

61.4%

Tonight's top play

Hits OVER 0.5+5.5% edgemodel 61% · grade A

Why: strong vs the Four-Seam (40% usage, .427 xwOBA).

Verdict

one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?

Prop	Pick	Model	Edge	L10	Verdict
Hits	OVER 0.5	61%	+5.5%	60%	STRONG
Home Runs	UNDER 0.5	90%	+1.3%	100%	LEAN

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Dylan Beavers, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	0-2	0%	-100.0%
A	0-1	0%	-100.0%
B	0-3	0%	-100.0%

Combined 0-6 · n=6 · ROI -100.0% · avg CLV -0.6 pts · beat close 0%

Matchup

Dylan Beavers (LHB) vs Zack Wheeler RHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Zack Wheeler RHP · season · 92.1 IP · 396 BF

BAA

.194

wOBA

.254

SLG

.342

ISO

.148

WHIP

1.05

HR/9

1.27

BB%

6.3%

31.1%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

3.2%

HH%

36.6%

FB%

35.3%

HR/FB%

16.7%

Dylan Beavers hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	41-177	.232	.333	.102	2	11.1%	25.4%
vs RHP	36-147	.245	.367	.122	2	12.0%	26.5%

Pitch-type matchup

Zack Wheeler's arsenal × how Dylan Beavers hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Zack Wheeler throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
TOPFour-Seam	40%	95.8	26%	.349
TOPSinker	17%	95.2	11%	.327
Sweeper	14%	83.3	38%	.377
Splitter	10%	87.0	36%	.324
Cutter	10%	91.6	18%	.297
Curveball	9%	80.9	47%	.305

Dylan Beavers vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
TOPFour-Seam	410	12%	.427	89.4
TOPSinker	131	13%	.360	92.3
Sweeper	74	38%	.233	78.7
Splitter	36	44%	.408	85.5
Cutter	87	13%	.427	82.4
Curveball	109	18%	.246	90.7

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

60%6/10 · L10 · avg 0.8

Our model61% OVER+5.5% edgeA

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.4

Plate Appearancesavg 3.4

Hitsavg 0.8

Singlesavg 0.7

Doublesavg 0.1

Total Basesavg 0.9

Home Runsavg 0.0

Strikeoutsavg 0.5

Walksavg 0.4

Tonight's lines

2026-08-02 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Doubles + Triples

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	PASS	9%	—	+500	-0.7	Sign in to save	—

Hits

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	A	61%	+5.5%	-127	-1.1	Sign in to save	Sign in
1.5	OVER	PASS	18%	-2.2%	+400	+0.0	Sign in to save	Sign in
2.5	OVER	PASS	3%	-2.0%	+2000	-0.6	Sign in to save	Sign in

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	UNDER	PASS	90%	+1.3%	-769	+2.3	Sign in to save	Sign in

RBIs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	S	6%	—	+368	-3.0	Sign in to save	—
1.5	—	PASS	4%	—	+1000	+0.0	Sign in to save	—

Singles

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	PASS	41%	—	+154	+1.1	Sign in to save	—

Total Bases

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
1.5	—	PASS	30%	—	+180	+1.2	Sign in to save	—

Same-game parlay

pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won't

Splits

Career n=199 PA · 2026-03-18 → 2026-07-31

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	41-177	.232	.333	.102	12	2	22	25.4%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	5-30	.167	.167	.000	0	0	2	20.0%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	36-147	.245	.367	.122	12	2	20	26.5%
Last 15 days recent form	11-37	.297	.378	.081	3	0	5	16.2%
@ Oriole Park at Camden Yards tonight's stadium	1410-5853	.241	.321	.080	470	0	879	31.9%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.319

wOBA0.314

delta−0.005 due

n=197 PA

Spray chart

210 balls in play since 2025· wind 11 mph cross-wind

Balls in play210

HR rate2.9%

Hard-hit (95+)34%

Avg exit velo89.0 mph

Ground ball35%

Line drive26%

Fly ball32%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-08-01	1	1	0	0	0	1-for-1 · 1 SB
2026-07-31	4	1	1	1	1	1-for-3 · 1 2B · 1 R · 1 BB · 1 K
2026-07-29	2	0	0	0	0	0-for-2 · 1 R
2026-07-28	4	0	0	0	0	0-for-4
2026-07-27	3	1	0	0	0	1-for-3 · 1 RBI
2026-07-26	5	0	0	1	1	0-for-4 · 1 BB · 1 K
2026-07-25	5	2	0	1	1	2-for-4 · 1 RBI · 1 BB · 1 K
2026-07-24	5	1	0	1	2	1-for-4 · 1 BB · 2 K
2026-07-22	1	0	0	0	0	0-for-1
2026-07-22	4	2	0	0	0	2-for-4 · 2 RBI · 1 R

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Dylan Beavers across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.