Liam Hicks

C · LHB · RHP · TBR

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Home vs

ATH

Starter

Brady Basso

Stadium

Tropicana Field

Model HR%

11.1%

Tonight's top play

Hits OVER 0.5+9.0% edgemodel 68% · grade S

Why: strong vs the Four-Seam (50% usage, .351 xwOBA).

Verdict

one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?

Prop	Pick	Model	Edge	L10	Verdict
Hits	OVER 0.5	68%	+9.0%	50%	LEAN

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Liam Hicks, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	22-7	76%	+55.4%
A	10-8	56%	+77.0%
B	8-15	35%	+11.1%

Combined 40-30 · n=70 · ROI +46.4% · avg CLV -1.0 pts · beat close 36%

Matchup

Liam Hicks (LHB) vs Brady Basso favors batterfavors pitcher

Brady Basso · season · 41.6 IP · 179 BF

BAA

.302

wOBA

.293

SLG

.471

ISO

.169

WHIP

1.42

HR/9

0.65

BB%

3.9%

15.6%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

0.8%

HH%

34.1%

FB%

29.5%

HR/FB%

7.7%

Liam Hicks hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	131-474	.276	.424	.148	18	11.7%	10.8%
vs ?HP	113-369	.306	.485	.179	17	12.4%	9.2%

Pitch-type matchup

Brady Basso's arsenal × how Liam Hicks hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Brady Basso throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
TOPFour-Seam	50%	93.0	16%	.310
Cutter	22%	88.8	27%	.408
Curveball	16%	77.8	17%	.273
Changeup	9%	86.3	10%	.513
Sinker	3%	92.9	0%	—

Liam Hicks vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
TOPFour-Seam	729	7%	.351	87.5
Cutter	188	13%	.316	83.0
Curveball	185	9%	.299	86.3
Changeup	290	19%	.290	84.0
Sinker	368	6%	.259	84.1

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

50%5/10 · L10 · avg 0.6

Our model68% OVER+9.0% edgeS

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.2

Plate Appearancesavg 3.2

Hitsavg 0.6

Singlesavg 0.4

Doublesavg 0.1

Total Basesavg 1.0

Home Runsavg 0.1

Strikeoutsavg 0.5

Walksavg 0.2

Tonight's lines

2026-09-18 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Hits

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	S	68%	+9.0%	-145	-0.3	Sign in to save	Sign in

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	UNDER	PASS	92%	—	—	—	Sign in to save	Sign in

RBIs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	S	5%	—	+295	-0.4	Sign in to save	—

Singles

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	A	56%	—	-103	-0.2	Sign in to save	—

Same-game parlay

pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won't

Splits

Career n=537 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-09-12

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	131-474	.276	.424	.148	14	1	18	63	10.8%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	18-105	.171	.210	.038	1	0	1	11	16.2%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	113-369	.306	.485	.179	13	1	17	52	9.2%
Last 15 days recent form	6-27	.222	.370	.148	1	0	1	2	14.8%
@ Tropicana Field tonight's stadium	1605-5655	.284	.306	.022	124	0	0	474	11.6%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.310

wOBA0.346

delta+0.036 hot

n=535 PA

Spray chart

712 balls in play since 2025

Balls in play712

HR rate3.4%

Hard-hit (95+)28%

Avg exit velo84.1 mph

Ground ball44%

Line drive25%

Fly ball24%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	HR	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-09-15	3	0	0	0	1	1	0-for-2 · 1 BB · 1 K
2026-09-12	3	1	1	0	0	0	1-for-3 · 1 2B
2026-09-11	3	0	0	0	0	0	0-for-3
2026-09-10	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-for-1 · 1 K
2026-09-09	4	1	0	0	0	1	1-for-4 · 1 RBI · 1 K
2026-09-08	5	1	0	1	1	0	1-for-4 · 1 HR · 2 RBI · 1 R · 1 BB
2026-09-06	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-for-1
2026-09-05	4	2	0	0	0	0	2-for-4 · 1 RBI
2026-09-04	4	1	0	0	0	0	1-for-4
2026-09-02	4	0	0	0	0	2	0-for-4 · 2 K

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Liam Hicks across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.