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Samuel Basallo
C · LHB · RHP · BAL
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Tonight's top play
Hits OVER 0.5+12.5% edgemodel 62% · grade S
Why: strong vs the Sinker (32% usage, .483 xwOBA).
Verdict
one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Samuel Basallo, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 10-2 | 83% | +59.8% |
| A | 2-3 | 40% | -9.2% |
| B | 1-5 | 17% | -75.5% |
Combined 13-10 · n=23 · ROI +9.5% · avg CLV -12.2 pts · beat close 25%
Matchup
Samuel Basallo (LHB) vs Robert Stock favors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Robert Stock's arsenal × how Samuel Basallo hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.4Plate Appearancesavg 3.4
Hitsavg 0.6
Singlesavg 0.5
Doublesavg 0.0
Total Basesavg 0.9
Home Runsavg 0.1
Strikeoutsavg 0.8
Walksavg 0.1
Tonight's lines
2026-09-20 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Same-game parlay
pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won'tSplits
Career n=397 PA · 2026-03-17 → 2026-09-14
xStats luck
xwOBA0.308
wOBA0.307
delta−0.001 due
n=397 PA
Spray chart
346 balls in play since 2025Balls in play346
HR rate6.6%
Hard-hit (95+)42%
Avg exit velo89.8 mph
Ground ball46%
Line drive20%
Fly ball29%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Samuel Basallo across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.