Nolan Schanuel

1B · LHB · RHP · LAA

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Away @

BAL

Starter

Brandon Young (RHP)

Stadium

Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Model HR%

15.0%

Model Hits%

78.4%

Model K%

25.4%

Tonight's top play

Hits OVER 0.5+8.4% edgemodel 78% · grade S

Why: strong vs the Splitter (19% usage, .390 xwOBA).

Verdict

one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?

Prop	Pick	Model	Edge	L10	Verdict
Hits	OVER 0.5	78%	+8.4%	70%	STRONG
Home Runs	OVER 0.5	15%	+7.0%	0%	CAUTION

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Nolan Schanuel, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	0-3	0%	-100.0%
A	2-1	67%	+4.0%
B	0-2	0%	-100.0%

Combined 2-6 · n=8 · ROI -61.0% · avg CLV +0.9 pts · beat close 100%

Matchup

Nolan Schanuel (LHB) vs Brandon Young RHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Brandon Young RHP · season · 107.0 IP · 460 BF

BAA

.245

wOBA

.314

SLG

.380

ISO

.135

WHIP

1.33

HR/9

1.01

BB%

8.5%

19.4%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

2.7%

HH%

41.7%

FB%

37.0%

HR/FB%

11.0%

Nolan Schanuel hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	94-360	.261	.369	.108	6	11.3%	16.1%
vs RHP	75-265	.283	.392	.109	4	11.1%	15.1%

Pitch-type matchup

Brandon Young's arsenal × how Nolan Schanuel hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Brandon Young throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
Four-Seam	43%	93.9	18%	.318
TOPSplitter	19%	87.0	25%	.401
Curveball	14%	75.6	16%	.342
Slider	11%	83.1	29%	.349
Cutter	6%	86.8	19%	.386
Sinker	5%	93.2	5%	.347
Changeup	3%	87.1	27%	.551
Pitchout	0%	91.4	—	—

Nolan Schanuel vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
Four-Seam	1071	9%	.328	87.9
TOPSplitter	117	38%	.390	88.7
Curveball	212	22%	.346	85.4
Slider	346	25%	.390	88.0
Cutter	257	10%	.354	87.5
Sinker	455	7%	.353	88.3
Changeup	356	20%	.199	81.4
Pitchout	no sample

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

70%7/10 · L10 · avg 0.8

Our model78% OVER+8.4% edgeS

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.1

Plate Appearancesavg 4.1

Hitsavg 0.8

Singlesavg 0.4

Doublesavg 0.4

Total Basesavg 1.2

Home Runsavg 0.0

Strikeoutsavg 0.5

Walksavg 0.2

Tonight's lines

2026-08-06 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Doubles + Triples

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	PASS	14%	—	+433	-0.3	Sign in to save	—

Hits

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	S	78%	+8.4%	-233	+0.6	Sign in to save	Sign in
1.5	OVER	A	37%	+5.8%	+220	+0.0	Sign in to save	Sign in
2.5	OVER	PASS	9%	-2.0%	+800	+0.0	Sign in to save	Sign in

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	A	15%	+7.0%	+1157	-0.7	Sign in to save	Sign in

RBIs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	S	12%	—	+215	+1.8	Sign in to save	—
1.5	—	PASS	8%	—	+700	+0.0	Sign in to save	—

Singles

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	PASS	58%	—	-165	+1.5	Sign in to save	—
1.5	—	PASS	19%	—	+400	+0.0	Sign in to save	—

Strikeouts

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	PASS	25%	—	-137	+0.0	Sign in to save	—

Total Bases

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
1.5	—	S	48%	—	+154	-0.5	Sign in to save	—

Same-game parlay

pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won't

Splits

Career n=406 PA · 2026-03-16 → 2026-08-04

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	94-360	.261	.369	.108	21	6	46	16.1%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	19-95	.200	.305	.105	4	2	13	18.9%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	75-265	.283	.392	.109	17	4	33	15.1%
Last 15 days recent form	9-43	.209	.302	.093	4	0	3	11.6%
vs BAL tonight's opponent (full roster)	14-37	.378	.541	.162	3	1	4	10.8%
@ Oriole Park at Camden Yards tonight's stadium	154-308	.500	1.000	.500	154	0	0	0.0%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.324

wOBA0.317

delta−0.007 due

n=404 PA

Spray chart

743 balls in play since 2025

Balls in play743

HR rate2.4%

Hard-hit (95+)32%

Avg exit velo87.9 mph

Ground ball44%

Line drive28%

Fly ball23%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-08-05	4	1	0	0	0	1-for-4 · 1 R
2026-08-04	4	2	2	0	0	2-for-4 · 2 2B · 1 R
2026-08-02	4	0	0	0	2	0-for-4 · 2 K
2026-08-01	4	0	0	0	1	0-for-4 · 1 K
2026-07-31	4	1	0	0	1	1-for-4 · 1 K
2026-07-29	4	1	1	0	0	1-for-4 · 1 2B · 1 R
2026-07-28	4	1	0	0	0	1-for-4
2026-07-27	5	1	1	0	0	1-for-5 · 1 2B · 1 RBI
2026-07-26	4	0	0	2	0	0-for-2 · 1 R · 2 BB
2026-07-25	4	1	0	0	1	1-for-4 · 1 K

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Nolan Schanuel across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.