Colson Montgomery

SS · LHB · RHP · CHW

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Home vs

DET

Starter

Jackson Jobe

Stadium

Rate Field

Model HR%

31.8%

Model Hits%

69.5%

Tonight's top play

Hits OVER 0.5+15.8% edgemodel 69% · grade S

Verdict

one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?

Prop	Pick	Model	Edge	L10	Verdict
Hits	OVER 0.5	69%	+15.8%	—	LEAN
Home Runs	OVER 0.5	32%	+12.7%	—	LEAN

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Colson Montgomery, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	13-18	42%	-10.6%
A	8-15	35%	-20.5%
B	10-16	38%	-11.1%

Combined 31-49 · n=80 · ROI -13.6% · avg CLV -2.0 pts · beat close 35%

Matchup

Colson Montgomery (LHB) vs Jackson Jobe favors batterfavors pitcher

Jackson Jobe · season · 34.7 IP · 149 BF

BAA

.235

wOBA

.324

SLG

.439

ISO

.204

WHIP

1.38

HR/9

1.56

BB%

11.4%

22.8%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

2.1%

HH%

35.4%

FB%

33.3%

HR/FB%

18.8%

Colson Montgomery hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	111-560	.198	.405	.207	31	10.8%	39.5%
vs ?HP	70-390	.179	.377	.197	21	11.0%	42.3%

Tonight's lines

2026-09-19 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Doubles + Triples

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	PASS	10%	—	+600	+0.0	Sign in to save	—

Hits

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	S	69%	+15.8%	-116	+0.0	Sign in to save	Sign in

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	S	32%	+12.7%	+425	-1.0	Sign in to save	Sign in

RBIs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	S	22%	—	+215	-0.9	Sign in to save	—

Singles

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	PASS	35%	—	+195	+0.0	Sign in to save	—

Total Bases

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
1.5	—	S	45%	—	+185	-0.9	Sign in to save	—

Same-game parlay

pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won't

Splits

Career n=628 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-09-16

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	111-560	.198	.405	.207	23	31	68	39.5%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	41-170	.241	.471	.229	9	10	20	32.9%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	70-390	.179	.377	.197	14	21	48	42.3%
Last 15 days recent form	3-38	.079	.263	.184	1	2	8	57.9%
vs DET tonight's opponent (full roster)	9-41	.220	.488	.268	2	3	5	36.6%
@ Rate Field tonight's stadium	3175-21944	.145	.265	.120	424	738	1742	43.6%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.302

wOBA0.312

delta+0.010 hot

n=628 PA

Spray chart

510 balls in play since 2025

Balls in play510

HR rate10.0%

Hard-hit (95+)43%

Avg exit velo88.5 mph

Ground ball33%

Line drive22%

Fly ball32%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-09-18	4	2	1	0	2	2-for-4 · 1 2B · 3 RBI · 1 R · 2 K
2026-09-16	2	0	0	0	1	0-for-2 · 1 K
2026-09-15	2	0	0	0	1	0-for-2 · 1 K
2026-09-14	5	0	0	0	3	0-for-5 · 1 R · 3 K
2026-09-13	4	0	0	1	1	0-for-3 · 1 BB · 1 K
2026-09-12	4	0	0	2	0	0-for-2 · 1 RBI · 2 BB
2026-09-11	5	0	0	1	3	0-for-4 · 1 BB · 3 K
2026-09-10	3	1	1	0	1	1-for-3 · 1 2B · 1 K
2026-09-09	4	0	0	0	3	0-for-4 · 3 K
2026-09-08	4	0	0	0	1	0-for-4 · 1 RBI · 1 K

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Colson Montgomery across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.