Daylen Lile

LF · LHB · RHP · WSN

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Away @

PHI

Starter

Aaron Nola (RHP)

Stadium

Citizens Bank Park

Model HR%

23.4%

Model Hits%

71.5%

Tonight's top play

Home Runs OVER 0.5+6.0% edgemodel 23% · grade A

Verdict

one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?

Prop	Pick	Model	Edge	L10	Verdict
Home Runs	OVER 0.5	23%	+6.0%	10%	CAUTION
Hits	OVER 1.5	31%	+0.2%	10%	CAUTION

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Daylen Lile, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	9-1	90%	+106.2%
A	11-5	69%	+25.4%
B	5-2	71%	+122.2%

Combined 25-8 · n=33 · ROI +70.4% · avg CLV -0.2 pts · beat close 35%

Matchup

Daylen Lile (LHB) vs Aaron Nola RHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Aaron Nola RHP · season · 120.7 IP · 519 BF

BAA

.277

wOBA

.316

SLG

.510

ISO

.233

WHIP

1.45

HR/9

2.01

BB%

8.3%

23.1%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

2.0%

HH%

40.5%

FB%

35.2%

HR/FB%

25.5%

Daylen Lile hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	109-449	.243	.410	.167	14	6.8%	19.4%
vs RHP	80-327	.245	.443	.199	13	6.3%	18.7%

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

80%8/10 · L10 · avg 0.9

Our model71% OVER-3.5% edgePASS

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.3

Plate Appearancesavg 3.3

Hitsavg 0.9

Singlesavg 0.6

Doublesavg 0.0

Total Basesavg 1.7

Home Runsavg 0.2

Strikeoutsavg 0.7

Walksavg 0.2

Tonight's lines

2026-08-03 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Doubles + Triples

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	A	8%	—	+350	+2.7	Sign in to save	—

Hits

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	OVER	PASS	71%	-3.5%	-300	-9.2	Sign in to save	Sign in
BEST1.5	OVER	PASS	31%	+0.2%	+225	-4.0	Sign in to save	Sign in
2.5	OVER	PASS	7%	-5.1%	+750	-3.4	Sign in to save	Sign in

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	A	23%	+6.0%	+473	-2.2	Sign in to save	Sign in

RBIs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	S	17%	—	+165	+4.1	Sign in to save	—

Singles

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	PASS	49%	—	-101	-3.6	Sign in to save	—

Total Bases

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
1.5	—	A	42%	—	-120	+0.0	Sign in to save	—

Same-game parlay

pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won't

Splits

Career n=482 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-08-01

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	109-449	.243	.410	.167	23	5	14	33	19.4%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	29-122	.238	.320	.082	5	1	1	11	21.3%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	80-327	.245	.443	.199	18	4	13	22	18.7%
Last 15 days recent form	10-38	.263	.553	.289	1	2	2	2	21.1%
vs Aaron Nola tonight's starting pitcher	1-7	.143	.143	.000	0	0	0	0	0.0%
vs PHI tonight's opponent (full roster)	14-38	.368	.553	.184	4	0	1	1	13.2%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.314

wOBA0.336

delta+0.022 hot

n=480 PA

Spray chart

632 balls in play since 2025· wind 3 mph cross-wind

Balls in play632

HR rate3.6%

Hard-hit (95+)37%

Avg exit velo88.6 mph

Ground ball36%

Line drive27%

Fly ball31%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	3B	HR	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-08-02	4	1	0	0	1	1	1-for-3 · 1 SB · 1 BB · 1 K
2026-08-01	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-for-1
2026-07-31	4	1	0	0	0	1	1-for-4 · 1 K
2026-07-30	4	2	0	2	0	0	2-for-4 · 2 HR · 2 RBI · 2 R
2026-07-29	4	1	0	0	0	1	1-for-4 · 1 K
2026-07-28	4	1	0	0	1	1	1-for-3 · 1 RBI · 1 R · 1 BB · 1 K
2026-07-27	4	1	0	0	0	2	1-for-4 · 2 K
2026-07-26	3	1	0	0	0	0	1-for-3 · 1 R
2026-07-25	4	1	1	0	0	1	1-for-4 · 1 3B · 2 RBI · 1 K
2026-07-24	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-for-1

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Daylen Lile across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.

← BACK TO SLATE

Daylen Lile

LF · LHB · RHP · WSN

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Away @

PHI

Starter

Aaron Nola (RHP)

Stadium

Citizens Bank Park

Model HR%

23.4%

Model Hits%

71.5%

Tonight's top play

Home Runs OVER 0.5+6.0% edgemodel 23% · grade A

Verdict

one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?

Prop	Pick	Model	Edge	L10	Verdict
Home Runs	OVER 0.5	23%	+6.0%	10%	CAUTION
Hits	OVER 1.5	31%	+0.2%	10%	CAUTION

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Daylen Lile, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	9-1	90%	+106.2%
A	11-5	69%	+25.4%
B	5-2	71%	+122.2%

Combined 25-8 · n=33 · ROI +70.4% · avg CLV -0.2 pts · beat close 35%

Matchup

Daylen Lile (LHB) vs Aaron Nola RHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Aaron Nola RHP · season · 120.7 IP · 519 BF

BAA

.277

wOBA

.316

SLG

.510

ISO

.233

WHIP

1.45

HR/9

2.01

BB%

8.3%

23.1%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

2.0%

HH%

40.5%

FB%

35.2%

HR/FB%

25.5%

Daylen Lile hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	109-449	.243	.410	.167	14	6.8%	19.4%
vs RHP	80-327	.245	.443	.199	13	6.3%	18.7%

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

80%8/10 · L10 · avg 0.9

Our model71% OVER-3.5% edgePASS

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.3

Plate Appearancesavg 3.3

Hitsavg 0.9

Singlesavg 0.6

Doublesavg 0.0

Total Basesavg 1.7

Home Runsavg 0.2

Strikeoutsavg 0.7

Walksavg 0.2

Tonight's lines

2026-08-03 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Doubles + Triples

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	A	8%	—	+350	+2.7	Sign in to save	—

Hits

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	OVER	PASS	71%	-3.5%	-300	-9.2	Sign in to save	Sign in
BEST1.5	OVER	PASS	31%	+0.2%	+225	-4.0	Sign in to save	Sign in
2.5	OVER	PASS	7%	-5.1%	+750	-3.4	Sign in to save	Sign in

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	A	23%	+6.0%	+473	-2.2	Sign in to save	Sign in

RBIs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	S	17%	—	+165	+4.1	Sign in to save	—

Singles

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	PASS	49%	—	-101	-3.6	Sign in to save	—

Total Bases

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
1.5	—	A	42%	—	-120	+0.0	Sign in to save	—

Same-game parlay

pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won't

Splits

Career n=482 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-08-01

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	109-449	.243	.410	.167	23	5	14	33	19.4%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	29-122	.238	.320	.082	5	1	1	11	21.3%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	80-327	.245	.443	.199	18	4	13	22	18.7%
Last 15 days recent form	10-38	.263	.553	.289	1	2	2	2	21.1%
vs Aaron Nola tonight's starting pitcher	1-7	.143	.143	.000	0	0	0	0	0.0%
vs PHI tonight's opponent (full roster)	14-38	.368	.553	.184	4	0	1	1	13.2%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.314

wOBA0.336

delta+0.022 hot

n=480 PA

Spray chart

632 balls in play since 2025· wind 3 mph cross-wind

Balls in play632

HR rate3.6%

Hard-hit (95+)37%

Avg exit velo88.6 mph

Ground ball36%

Line drive27%

Fly ball31%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	3B	HR	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-08-02	4	1	0	0	1	1	1-for-3 · 1 SB · 1 BB · 1 K
2026-08-01	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-for-1
2026-07-31	4	1	0	0	0	1	1-for-4 · 1 K
2026-07-30	4	2	0	2	0	0	2-for-4 · 2 HR · 2 RBI · 2 R
2026-07-29	4	1	0	0	0	1	1-for-4 · 1 K
2026-07-28	4	1	0	0	1	1	1-for-3 · 1 RBI · 1 R · 1 BB · 1 K
2026-07-27	4	1	0	0	0	2	1-for-4 · 2 K
2026-07-26	3	1	0	0	0	0	1-for-3 · 1 R
2026-07-25	4	1	1	0	0	1	1-for-4 · 1 3B · 2 RBI · 1 K
2026-07-24	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-for-1

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Daylen Lile across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.