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Hunter Goodman
C · RHB · RHP
Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Hunter Goodman, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 5-1 | 83% | +82.2% |
| A | 3-4 | 43% | -17.6% |
| B | 1-1 | 50% | -13.0% |
Combined 9-6 · n=15 · ROI +22.9% · avg CLV +0.0 pts · beat close 50%
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.0Plate Appearancesavg 4.0
Hitsavg 0.8
Singlesavg 0.6
Doublesavg 0.0
Total Basesavg 1.4
Home Runsavg 0.2
Strikeoutsavg 1.8
Walksavg 0.3
Splits
Career n=455 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-08-03
xStats luck
xwOBA0.318
wOBA0.371
delta+0.053 hot
n=455 PA
Spray chart
676 balls in play since 2025Balls in play676
HR rate9.9%
Hard-hit (95+)45%
Avg exit velo90.2 mph
Ground ball36%
Line drive24%
Fly ball31%
What kind of arm does he crush?
top 3 pitcher traits by |lift|
+51.9%significant
n=299 games · 39/165 HR when active
+35.1%significant
n=277 games · 10/35 HR when active
+34.1%significant
n=304 games · 16/61 HR when active
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature· refreshed 2026-08-04
helping tonighthurting tonightnot in play tonight
Batting 3-4-5 in the order
1.61× HR rate
221 yes / 85 no · 60 HRs
Vs. fastball-heavy pitcher (FB% ≥ 55%)
1.52× HR rate
165 yes / 134 no · 58 HRs
Summer game (Jun-Aug)
+47%
118 yes / 188 no · 60 HRs
Opposing starter's recent FB velo down ≥1 mph
+35%
35 yes / 242 no · 53 HRs
Vs. HR-prone pitcher (HR/PA > 3.8%)
+34%
61 yes / 243 no · 59 HRs
Opposing starter coming off >7 days rest
+29%
52 yes / 233 no · 58 HRs
Platoon advantage (LHB-vs-RHP or RHB-vs-LHP)
−28%
62 yes / 157 no · 41 HRs
Vs. hittable pitcher (BAA > .260)
+28%
59 yes / 247 no · 60 HRs
Vs. high-contact-quality pitcher (avg EV allowed ≥ 89 mph)
+23%
144 yes / 162 no · 60 HRs
Vs. fly-ball-prone pitcher (FB% allowed > 40%)
+23%
57 yes / 245 no · 59 HRs
Vs. high-xwOBA pitcher (xwOBA allowed > .340)
+22%
49 yes / 256 no · 59 HRs
≥1 career HR vs this pitcher
+21%
26 yes / 280 no · 60 HRs
// 16 more factors — small sample / no significant lift
≥2 career HRs vs this pitcher
+21%
4 yes / 302 no · 60 HRs
3rd time through order vs starter
+17%
180 yes / 126 no · 60 HRs
Wind blowing out (≥10 mph, outdoor)
+16%
5 yes / 285 no · 58 HRs
Playing at home
−15%
152 yes / 154 no · 60 HRs
No rest day (B2B or doubleheader)
−12%
219 yes / 86 no · 60 HRs
First-pitch temperature > 78°F
−12%
69 yes / 221 no · 58 HRs
Rested (2+ days off)
−11%
20 yes / 285 no · 60 HRs
Cold month (Apr / Sep / Oct)
−10%
90 yes / 216 no · 60 HRs
HR-suppressing park (factor ≤ 0.95)
+9%
26 yes / 278 no · 60 HRs
HR-friendly park (factor ≥ 1.10)
−6%
173 yes / 131 no · 60 HRs
Vs. pull-fly-ball-prone pitcher (>18%)
−6%
225 yes / 77 no · 59 HRs
Vs. short-leash starter (avg IP < 5.0)
−5%
127 yes / 174 no · 59 HRs
≥3 career HRs vs this pitcher
neutral
1 yes / 305 no · 60 HRs
Hot streak (L5 avg EV > career baseline)
neutral
132 yes / 169 no · 60 HRs
Vs. barrel-prone pitcher (Barrel% allowed > 9%)
neutral
0 yes / 302 no · 59 HRs
Vs. low-whiff pitcher (whiff% < 22%)
neutral
0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs
// LIFT = P(HR | factor true) ÷ P(HR | factor false), Bayesian- shrunk with K=30 pseudo-games. Significance requires |lift − 1| ≥ 0.20 AND smaller cohort n ≥ 15. Cohort = top 60 HR hitters, last 2 seasons. Refreshed weekly. Green/red = the factor's effect on tonight's HR chance; gray = not in play tonight.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Hunter Goodman across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.