Jacob Young

CF · RHB · RHP · WSN

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Away @

PHI

Starter

Cristopher Sánchez (LHP)

Stadium

Citizens Bank Park

Model HR%

8.3%

Model Hits%

73.7%

Tonight's top play

Hits OVER 0.5+15.2% edgemodel 74% · grade S

Verdict

one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?

Prop	Pick	Model	Edge	L10	Verdict
Hits	OVER 0.5	74%	+15.2%	50%	LEAN
Home Runs	OVER 0.5	8%	+1.2%	0%	CAUTION

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Jacob Young, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	11-13	46%	-15.2%
A	5-19	21%	-50.7%
B	5-15	25%	-46.6%

Combined 21-47 · n=68 · ROI -37.0% · avg CLV -2.1 pts · beat close 35%

Matchup

Jacob Young (RHB) vs Cristopher Sánchez LHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Cristopher Sánchez LHP · season · 144.2 IP · 620 BF

BAA

.245

wOBA

.284

SLG

.352

ISO

.106

WHIP

1.25

HR/9

0.75

BB%

6.0%

27.7%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

2.0%

HH%

43.1%

FB%

20.3%

HR/FB%

16.9%

Jacob Young hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	72-322	.224	.363	.140	9	8.8%	19.6%
vs LHP	27-109	.248	.385	.138	2	10.7%	19.3%

Pitch-type matchup

Cristopher Sánchez's arsenal × how Jacob Young hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Cristopher Sánchez throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
Sinker	45%	95.3	13%	.363
Changeup	37%	86.4	43%	.298
Slider	17%	85.7	33%	.382

Jacob Young vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
Sinker	443	5%	.324	85.4
Changeup	180	24%	.313	81.4
Slider	318	27%	.310	85.2

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

50%5/10 · L10 · avg 0.8

Our model74% OVER+15.2% edgeS

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.6

Plate Appearancesavg 3.6

Hitsavg 0.8

Singlesavg 0.5

Doublesavg 0.3

Total Basesavg 1.1

Home Runsavg 0.0

Strikeoutsavg 0.4

Walksavg 0.8

Tonight's lines

2026-08-06 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Doubles + Triples

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	PASS	11%	—	+550	+0.0	Sign in to save	—

Hits

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	S	74%	+15.2%	-141	-0.7	Sign in to save	Sign in
1.5	OVER	A	29%	+7.3%	+360	-3.3	Sign in to save	Sign in
2.5	OVER	PASS	6%	+0.0%	+1600	+0.0	Sign in to save	Sign in

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	PASS	8%	+1.2%	+1300	-0.5	Sign in to save	Sign in

RBIs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	S	7%	—	+368	+1.2	Sign in to save	—
1.5	—	PASS	3%	—	+1000	+1.9	Sign in to save	—

Singles

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	S	58%	—	+105	-1.7	Sign in to save	—
1.5	—	PASS	15%	—	+550	-2.8	Sign in to save	—

Total Bases

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
1.5	—	A	35%	—	+230	-3.6	Sign in to save	—

Same-game parlay

pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won't

Splits

Career n=353 PA · 2026-03-16 → 2026-08-04

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	72-322	.224	.363	.140	14	2	9	31	19.6%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	27-109	.248	.385	.138	7	1	2	13	19.3%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	45-213	.211	.352	.141	7	1	7	18	19.7%
Last 15 days recent form	6-25	.240	.320	.080	2	0	0	6	16.0%
vs Cristopher Sánchez tonight's starting pitcher	4-12	.333	.333	.000	0	0	0	3	0.0%
vs PHI tonight's opponent (full roster)	15-62	.242	.323	.081	2	0	1	8	27.4%
@ Citizens Bank Park tonight's stadium	77-801	.096	.096	.000	0	0	0	77	42.9%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.306

wOBA0.282

delta−0.024 due

n=352 PA

Spray chart

543 balls in play since 2025

Balls in play543

HR rate2.0%

Hard-hit (95+)36%

Avg exit velo85.2 mph

Ground ball50%

Line drive25%

Fly ball20%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-08-05	5	2	1	2	0	2-for-3 · 1 2B · 2 R · 2 BB
2026-08-04	3	0	0	0	1	0-for-3 · 1 K
2026-08-03	4	1	0	1	2	1-for-3 · 1 BB · 2 K
2026-08-01	3	0	0	1	0	0-for-2 · 1 BB
2026-07-31	2	0	0	0	0	0-for-2
2026-07-29	4	1	1	1	0	1-for-3 · 1 2B · 1 RBI · 1 BB
2026-07-28	4	0	0	3	0	0-for-1 · 2 RBI · 1 R · 3 BB
2026-07-26	4	2	1	0	0	2-for-4 · 1 2B · 2 RBI · 1 R
2026-07-25	4	2	0	0	0	2-for-4 · 1 R · 2 SB
2026-07-24	3	0	0	0	1	0-for-3 · 1 K

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Jacob Young across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.