Cam Smith

RF · RHB · RHP · HOU

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Home vs

Starter

Daniel Lynch IV (LHP)

Stadium

Daikin Park

Model HR%

17.5%

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Cam Smith, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	12-9	57%	+29.8%
A	4-12	25%	-6.2%
B	6-7	46%	+39.8%

Combined 22-28 · n=50 · ROI +20.9% · avg CLV -1.5 pts · beat close 53%

Matchup

Cam Smith (RHB) vs Daniel Lynch IV LHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Daniel Lynch IV LHP · season · 71.2 IP · 306 BF

BAA

.204

wOBA

.335

SLG

.333

ISO

.129

WHIP

1.18

HR/9

0.76

BB%

8.8%

18.0%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

2.7%

HH%

38.8%

FB%

31.1%

HR/FB%

10.5%

Cam Smith hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	104-494	.211	.391	.180	20	8.5%	27.1%
vs LHP	25-126	.198	.421	.222	7	9.4%	26.2%

Pitch-type matchup

Daniel Lynch IV's arsenal × how Cam Smith hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Daniel Lynch IV throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
TOPSlider	28%	86.8	34%	.334
TOPFour-Seam	22%	94.2	11%	.335
Sinker	21%	94.0	16%	.278
TOPChangeup	21%	86.0	27%	.378
Knuckle Curve	9%	82.3	33%	.443
Cutter	0%	88.6	0%	—

Cam Smith vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
TOPSlider	498	36%	.358	87.8
TOPFour-Seam	764	23%	.465	90.5
Sinker	529	13%	.328	87.4
TOPChangeup	266	44%	.413	86.9
Knuckle Curve	65	52%	.459	85.2
Cutter	216	27%	.504	88.2

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

50%5/10 · L10 · avg 0.8

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.5

Plate Appearancesavg 3.5

Hitsavg 0.8

Singlesavg 0.4

Doublesavg 0.0

Total Basesavg 1.9

Home Runsavg 0.3

Strikeoutsavg 1.1

Walksavg 0.2

Tonight's lines

2026-09-18 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	UNDER	PASS	86%	—	—	—	Sign in to save	Sign in

Splits

Career n=540 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-09-13

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	104-494	.211	.391	.180	17	6	20	46	27.1%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	25-126	.198	.421	.222	3	2	7	13	26.2%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	79-368	.215	.380	.166	14	4	13	33	27.4%
Last 15 days recent form	9-39	.231	.513	.282	0	1	3	3	33.3%
@ Daikin Park tonight's stadium	2006-10200	.197	.296	.099	369	239	54	337	23.7%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.306

wOBA0.289

delta−0.017 due

n=538 PA

Spray chart

677 balls in play since 2025· wind 6 mph cross-wind

Balls in play677

HR rate4.6%

Hard-hit (95+)44%

Avg exit velo89.0 mph

Ground ball45%

Line drive24%

Fly ball25%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	3B	HR	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-09-15	3	0	0	0	0	0	0-for-3
2026-09-13	4	0	0	0	0	1	0-for-4 · 1 K
2026-09-12	4	0	0	0	0	2	0-for-4 · 2 K
2026-09-11	4	1	0	0	0	1	1-for-4 · 1 K
2026-09-10	4	2	0	1	1	1	2-for-3 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 1 R · 1 BB · 1 K
2026-09-09	4	2	0	1	0	0	2-for-4 · 1 HR · 2 RBI · 2 R
2026-09-08	4	1	0	1	1	1	1-for-3 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 2 R · 1 BB · 1 K
2026-09-06	3	0	0	0	0	3	0-for-3 · 3 K
2026-09-05	4	2	1	0	0	1	2-for-4 · 1 3B · 1 K
2026-09-04	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-for-1 · 1 K

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Cam Smith across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.