Chase DeLauter

RF · LHB · LHP · CLE

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Home vs

NYM

Starter

Sean Manaea (LHP)

Stadium

Progressive Field

Model HR%

12.2%

Model Hits%

70.9%

Tonight's top play

Hits OVER 0.5+4.6% edgemodel 71% · grade B

Verdict

one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?

Prop	Pick	Model	Edge	L10	Verdict
Hits	OVER 0.5	71%	+4.6%	60%	STRONG
Home Runs	OVER 0.5	12%	+1.2%	10%	CAUTION

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Chase DeLauter, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	9-4	69%	+32.0%
A	2-5	29%	-32.0%
B	4-4	50%	-23.2%

Combined 15-13 · n=28 · ROI +0.2% · avg CLV -1.9 pts · beat close 15%

Matchup

Chase DeLauter (LHB) vs Sean Manaea LHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Sean Manaea LHP · season · 103.0 IP · 443 BF

BAA

.254

wOBA

.330

SLG

.433

ISO

.179

WHIP

1.43

HR/9

1.14

BB%

10.4%

22.4%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

2.4%

HH%

39.7%

FB%

35.2%

HR/FB%

14.9%

Chase DeLauter hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	108-377	.286	.467	.180	14	10.2%	15.6%
vs LHP	40-116	.345	.491	.147	2	7.9%	19.0%

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

60%6/10 · L10 · avg 0.7

Our model71% OVER+4.6% edgeB

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.4

Plate Appearancesavg 4.4

Hitsavg 0.7

Singlesavg 0.4

Doublesavg 0.2

Total Basesavg 1.2

Home Runsavg 0.1

Strikeoutsavg 0.8

Walksavg 0.6

Tonight's lines

2026-08-04 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Doubles + Triples

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	PASS	7%	—	+475	+0.0	Sign in to save	—

Hits

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	B	71%	+4.6%	-196	-0.5	Sign in to save	Sign in
1.5	OVER	PASS	29%	+2.7%	+260	+0.0	Sign in to save	Sign in
2.5	OVER	PASS	7%	-2.6%	+1000	+0.0	Sign in to save	Sign in

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	PASS	12%	+1.2%	+807	-0.2	Sign in to save	Sign in

RBIs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	S	8%	—	+179	-1.2	Sign in to save	—
1.5	—	PASS	6%	—	+600	+0.0	Sign in to save	—

Singles

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	A	56%	—	+100	+0.0	Sign in to save	—
1.5	—	PASS	17%	—	+500	+1.3	Sign in to save	—

Total Bases

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
1.5	—	A	34%	—	+152	+0.0	Sign in to save	—

Same-game parlay

pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won't

Splits

Career n=420 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-08-02

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	108-377	.286	.467	.180	24	1	14	43	15.6%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	40-116	.345	.491	.147	9	1	2	10	19.0%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	68-261	.261	.456	.195	15	0	12	33	14.2%
Last 15 days recent form	13-47	.277	.426	.149	4	0	1	6	19.1%
@ Progressive Field tonight's stadium	4465-14239	.314	.455	.142	1148	0	289	598	18.6%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.333

wOBA0.357

delta+0.024 hot

n=418 PA

Spray chart

321 balls in play since 2025· wind 8 mph blowing in

Balls in play321

HR rate4.4%

Hard-hit (95+)46%

Avg exit velo91.4 mph

Ground ball42%

Line drive28%

Fly ball20%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	HR	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-08-02	4	2	1	0	0	1	2-for-4 · 1 2B · 3 RBI · 1 R · 1 SB · 1 K
2026-08-01	5	1	0	1	0	0	1-for-5 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 2 R
2026-07-31	4	0	0	0	0	1	0-for-4 · 1 K
2026-07-29	5	1	0	0	2	1	1-for-3 · 1 R · 1 SB · 2 BB · 1 K
2026-07-28	4	1	0	0	0	0	1-for-4 · 1 RBI · 2 R
2026-07-28	4	0	0	0	0	1	0-for-4 · 1 K
2026-07-26	4	0	0	0	2	2	0-for-2 · 2 BB · 2 K
2026-07-24	4	1	1	0	1	0	1-for-3 · 1 2B · 1 R · 1 BB
2026-07-23	5	0	0	0	1	2	0-for-4 · 1 SB · 1 BB · 2 K
2026-07-22	5	1	0	0	0	0	1-for-5

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Chase DeLauter across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.