Sam Antonacci

LF · LHB · RHP · CHW

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Home vs

DET

Starter

Andrew Sears

Stadium

Rate Field

Model HR%

6.8%

Model Hits%

61.1%

Tonight's top play

Hits OVER 0.5+7.7% edgemodel 65% · grade A

Verdict

one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?

Prop	Pick	Model	Edge	L10	Verdict
Hits	OVER 0.5	65%	+7.7%	80%	STRONG
Home Runs	OVER 0.5	7%	-1.9%	0%	PASS

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Sam Antonacci, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	13-6	68%	+34.3%
A	12-13	48%	+103.0%
B	5-14	26%	-62.0%

Combined 30-33 · n=63 · ROI +32.5% · avg CLV -2.3 pts · beat close 29%

Matchup

Sam Antonacci (LHB) vs Andrew Sears favors batterfavors pitcher

Andrew Sears · season · 17.0 IP · 73 BF

BAA

.284

wOBA

.273

SLG

.492

ISO

.209

WHIP

1.47

HR/9

1.06

BB%

8.2%

17.8%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

1.8%

HH%

27.8%

FB%

48.1%

HR/FB%

7.7%

Sam Antonacci hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	124-464	.267	.388	.121	8	13.3%	17.5%
vs ?HP	103-370	.278	.422	.143	8	13.1%	15.7%

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

80%8/10 · L10 · avg 1.2

Our model65% OVER+7.7% edgeA

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.5

Plate Appearancesavg 3.5

Hitsavg 1.2

Singlesavg 0.8

Doublesavg 0.3

Total Basesavg 1.7

Home Runsavg 0.0

Strikeoutsavg 0.4

Walksavg 0.0

Tonight's lines

2026-09-16 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Doubles + Triples

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	PASS	8%	—	+542	-1.0	Sign in to save	—

Hits

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	A	65%	+7.7%	-133	-2.1	Sign in to save	Sign in

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	PASS	7%	-1.9%	+975	+0.0	Sign in to save	Sign in

RBIs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	S	4%	—	+495	+0.1	Sign in to save	—

Singles

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	A	52%	—	+119	-3.4	Sign in to save	—

Same-game parlay

pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won't

Splits

Career n=535 PA · 2026-03-19 → 2026-09-16

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	124-464	.267	.388	.121	24	4	8	71	17.5%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	21-94	.223	.255	.032	3	0	0	15	24.5%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	103-370	.278	.422	.143	21	4	8	56	15.7%
Last 15 days recent form	14-43	.326	.442	.116	3	1	0	4	14.0%
vs DET tonight's opponent (full roster)	5-28	.179	.321	.143	1	0	1	4	21.4%
@ Rate Field tonight's stadium	5972-20882	.286	.426	.140	1322	151	433	2765	18.7%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.334

wOBA0.338

delta+0.004 hot

n=535 PA

Spray chart

378 balls in play since 2025

Balls in play378

HR rate2.1%

Hard-hit (95+)32%

Avg exit velo86.9 mph

Ground ball51%

Line drive24%

Fly ball22%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	3B	K	Outcomes
2026-09-16	1	0	0	0	0	0-for-1
2026-09-15	4	2	0	0	1	2-for-4 · 1 RBI · 1 R · 1 K
2026-09-14	3	1	0	0	0	1-for-3 · 1 SB
2026-09-13	4	1	0	1	0	1-for-4 · 1 3B
2026-09-12	5	2	0	0	0	2-for-5 · 1 R
2026-09-11	2	1	0	0	0	1-for-2 · 1 R
2026-09-10	3	0	0	0	1	0-for-3 · 1 K
2026-09-09	5	1	0	0	1	1-for-5 · 1 RBI · 1 K
2026-09-08	4	1	0	0	1	1-for-4 · 1 K
2026-09-06	4	3	3	0	0	3-for-4 · 3 2B · 2 RBI · 2 R

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Sam Antonacci across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.