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Kevin McGonigle
SS · LHB · RHP · DET
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Tonight's top play
Hits OVER 0.5+2.8% edgemodel 68% · grade PASS
Why: strong vs the Four-Seam (42% usage, .451 xwOBA).
Verdict
one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Kevin McGonigle, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 15-8 | 65% | +24.7% |
| A | 4-6 | 40% | +0.1% |
| B | 3-14 | 18% | -34.4% |
Combined 22-28 · n=50 · ROI -0.3% · avg CLV -0.4 pts · beat close 44%
Matchup
Kevin McGonigle (LHB) vs Sean Burke RHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Sean Burke's arsenal × how Kevin McGonigle hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.8Plate Appearancesavg 4.8
Hitsavg 1.4
Singlesavg 0.9
Doublesavg 0.1
Total Basesavg 2.5
Home Runsavg 0.2
Strikeoutsavg 0.6
Walksavg 0.8
Tonight's lines
2026-09-19 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Same-game parlay
pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won'tSplits
Career n=691 PA · 2026-03-16 → 2026-09-17
xStats luck
xwOBA0.347
wOBA0.351
delta+0.004 hot
n=691 PA
Spray chart
500 balls in play since 2025Balls in play500
HR rate3.8%
Hard-hit (95+)38%
Avg exit velo88.1 mph
Ground ball33%
Line drive23%
Fly ball36%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Kevin McGonigle across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.