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MIN at SDP

Sat, Aug 22· 2026-08-23T00:40:00Z· Petco Park· Lineups confirmed
Updated 4:54 PM ET

MIN play at SDP on Sat, Aug 22 at Petco Park. Probable starters: Dean Kremer for MIN and Casey Mize (RHP) for SDP. The model's highest home-run probability in the game belongs to Kody Clemens at 22.8%.

Probable pitchers

Away · MIN
Dean Kremer
· K 21.7% · BB 8.1% · HR/9 1.19
Home · SDP
Casey Mize
RHP · K 21.4% · BB 6.7% · HR/9 0.83

Model home-run reads

Hitters ranked by the model's projected probability to hit a home run tonight. Probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes.

HitterTeamHR%Hits%K%
Kody ClemensMIN22.8%
Josh BellMIN22.2%
Royce LewisMIN20.9%
Manny MachadoSDP20.8%
Jackson MerrillSDP20.3%
Luis CampusanoSDP19.8%
Fernando Tatis Jr.SDP19.3%
Ty FranceSDP18.9%

Frequently asked

Who are the probable pitchers for MIN vs SDP on 2026-08-22?

Dean Kremer is the probable starter for MIN; Casey Mize (RHP) for SDP.

Which hitters does the model like for home runs in MIN at SDP?

Kody Clemens carries the highest modeled home-run probability at 22.8%, followed by Josh Bell at 22.2%. These are model probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes.

Projections are model outputs, not predictions of specific results. See methodology for how they are built, or the full matchups board.