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TOR at HOU

Tue, Aug 4· 2026-08-05T00:10:00Z· Daikin Park· Lineups confirmed
Updated 7:45 PM ET

TOR play at HOU on Tue, Aug 4 at Daikin Park. Probable starters: Trey Yesavage (RHP) for TOR and Hayden Wesneski for HOU. The model's highest home-run probability in the game belongs to Yordan Alvarez at 35.6%.

Probable pitchers

Away · TOR
Trey Yesavage
RHP · K 26.5% · BB 12.2% · HR/9 0.81
Home · HOU
Hayden Wesneski
— · K 22.1% · BB 8.6% · HR/9 0.81

Model home-run reads

Hitters ranked by the model's projected probability to hit a home run tonight. Probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes.

HitterTeamHR%Hits%K%
Yordan AlvarezHOU35.6%——
Christian WalkerHOU31.4%——
Cam SmithHOU22.4%——
Kazuma OkamotoTOR20.6%——
Daulton VarshoTOR20.3%——
George SpringerTOR19.1%——
Isaac ParedesHOU18.6%——
Jose AltuveHOU18.4%——

Frequently asked

Who are the probable pitchers for TOR vs HOU on 2026-08-04?

Trey Yesavage (RHP) is the probable starter for TOR; Hayden Wesneski for HOU.

Which hitters does the model like for home runs in TOR at HOU?

Yordan Alvarez carries the highest modeled home-run probability at 35.6%, followed by Christian Walker at 31.4%. These are model probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes.

Projections are model outputs, not predictions of specific results. See methodology for how they are built, or the full matchups board.